powderfreak

We are getting our “normal” summer weather now. 82/55 is like normal July up here at MVL… it just doesn’t feel like it because summer has averaged like 87/67 lately. If we get a “normal” mid-summer period one of these years, folks will think it’s cold. Our baseline expectation is so far removed from where it should be.

CPC seasonal probabilities (these maps shouldn’t be called “outlooks”) out today. A lean towards above normal and moist relative to normal. No big risk taking there. That’s the safe play recently… lean AN in temperatures and those positive departures usually come with some moisture in the cold season.

The Mansfield stake data is so important to me and your post shows why it’s such a great data set. It’s a simple data set that really works to show different winters’ characteristics. In 1954 some dude put a tall piece of wood against a tree to measure the snowpack that season… and 70-years later here we are still recording the snow depth on that piece of wood. Anytime the NOAA camera goes out up there, we (at the ski operations) will make sure to get up there. So much so, we will skin/hike up the hill to get readings if the lifts aren’t running. I think the crowd sourcing and local dedication to that data point is awesome. If NWS is looking for a reading, the community gets it with a photo for verification. Someone out there will pass by it, on foot or snowcat/snowmobile. We pass it along to BTV to keep the record going. But most readings are done from a camera the local NWS set up. The fact the BTV office has put so much money and energy into technology to continue the readings remotely is a testament to its novelty. 4kft elevation snowpack numbers for 70 years and counting. The period of record at that elevation is what makes it “the fabled stake.”

Diddy?

Looks like MVP tied a 2015 daily record of 81F today. They are at 1,165ft.

Good question, it’s closer to records than I thought. There probably are some stations tying or being close to daily recorded maxes. The record maxes really do quickly tail off this time of year… BTV is the longest climo spot and their 85F high is a tick shy of the 87F daily record; which is a step down from the 90s previously. The record high two days ago is 92F at BTV. So that’s another level of heat from this year.

84F today is +14 on the high. Average is 70F. Still not record hot, but sustained warmth and sun has been noteworthy. I’ve said this a couple nights now… but my call of mostly 70s instead of 80s has missed the mark. I think accountability and self-reflection is important in today’s society, ha. I thought things would moderate… but it’s been sustained 80s. The dry landscape seems to be feeding back into the temperatures too. The dry surface seems to get us that extra afternoon boost in temp, as the atmosphere mixes out. It’s been a dry heat, with a lower sun angle that reminds you it’s not mid-summer.

Thats always what I thought. They are just closing up shop early… try again next year type of thing. I mean we’ve had some real dry stretches in recent years… I don’t have any actual data to compare but this might be worse in an acute short time frame? But New England vegetation is very hardy… I feel like it would take a lot to actually kill mature native trees.

I hear ya, just busting your balls. I got so frustrated with the rain this summer impacting so many outdoor plans, that I just cannot bring myself to then flip flop and complain about it being dry. It’s been one helluva run of weather if you love being outdoors. Hopefully you’ve got plenty of water for the sprinklers. Assuming you’re on municipal water supply?

Haha, it’s hard to satisfy your weather needs. It’s not hot and humid enough for the beach, it’s too rainy at Winni, it’s too dry for the lawn, winter sucks…

Prancing through the wildflowers…

Keep the dry days going and opt outside. What an afternoon.

Keep that rain away. Let’s go a full two months of San Diego. The hiking and mountain biking is the best it’s been all year, no mud, bone dry. Like Colorado.

First snow in Utah’s Wasatch Range. Alta, Snowbird, Brighton, Solitude, Park City and Deer Valley. Little Cottonwood Canyon is the most impressive terrain for vertical relief. Just steep walls everywhere.

Just day after day of perfect weather. 82/55 I was wrong with the 80s. Thought we’d be more mid-upper 70s but we are dry low-80s daily at this point. 5 in a row. MVL was -1.7 for monthly departure 4 days ago… now it’s +1.2 and climbing like a half a degree upward per day lol.

Wiz just stroked out. 72F

If there is a time for dry warmth… it’s this time of year. It softens the blow of the decreasing sun angle too. We are maximizing sunshine and warmth during a time when the days start shortening more rapidly. Also the vegetation is going dormant soon. It may look burnt, but grasses are hardy. NE vegetation can take a dry month or two on the backend of the season… after a wet summer. It is a time to get outdoors.

This has been by far the nicest stretch of weather of the entire year. Every single day is a top 10’er. Going on like weeks now.

We knew.

72F at ALB at 11pm in mid-September is pretty warm. 57F here, which is warm but 10 degrees cooler than BTV. But to the east BLM is 50F in NNH. The interior SE Mass cool pocket that radiates is always fun to see… TAN at 50F and widespread low/mid 50s in SE NE. Dry/drought and high pressure letting the sandy desert radiate down there.

This is a wild prog/panel. With mid-60s dews to the north in NNE. Never seen anything like that.

It is warm but looks like normals in the Champlain Valley are still mid-70s, with Montreal closer to 70F. I guess relatively speaking it’s like a 90-degree day in July for BTV to Montreal. BTV record max is still in the 90s right now, so a max of 82F today is warm but a long way from anything noteworthy.

Does the type of spider really matter? If any spider, regardless of species, gets on you you’re gonna freak out.

Interesting the first 12 days of the month averaged -1.7 here. I can't remember the last time we got a stretch like that... maybe a year ago? Of course yesterday was +9 and that -1.7 went to -0.9 and give it another 2 days and we'll be at normal departures for the month... then go above as the warmth looks to stay. As soon as the air mass got dry and it stopped raining, we ripped off about two weeks of legit below normal temps because the overnight mins could do what climo thinks they should do.

Yeah that tail looks like a house cat. Hard to figure out what else it could be in that region.