10% sounds about right from last year. This year isn’t quite as bad from what I’ve seen but still down from the first couple post-COVID years.
I don’t think it’s all weather though like I said. I think we saw a post-COVID boom that pumped visitation for a couple years and water is starting to find its level too (no pun, ha).
I guess the metric would be comparing tourism nationwide or in a variety of areas to the VT tourism metrics… if everywhere is down a bit, then I think it’s less weather and more outside economic factors. Inflation, less disposable income, etc.
I know AirBnB nationwide has been down decently in advanced bookings and they are a good indicator. Their stock is down like 39% past 6 months due in part to a recoil in travel/vacations even worldwide.
We expect winter tourism to be a bit muted too by a few percentage points even if weather/snow is normal… because of some of the economic factors going on.