powderfreak

The ol' instability popcorn cells type snow showers as the ULL moves overhead, ha.

DDH is a long way from you then... down west of Bennington. That’s a good spot you have there right on the start of the high terrain. Didn’t realize how close you are to Bromley.

It is an interesting "inland" wind zone. Seeing RUT gust to 50+ (44kts) and DDH with almost 12 hours of 20-40mph gusts... it usually means stronger stuff on the actual western slope communities. The SE downslope flow can lead to some legit winds, with a frequency that is more rare for deeper interior NE climatology.

Yeah the EURO looked like the best solution for trick or treating from SNE up through the coastal plain of NNE, an 8-10 hour window of hit or miss showery weather in the warm sector. Going to be mild though with that warm front making it into southern Quebec.... looks like kids will be going door to door in shorts. Going to be humid, with widespread dews in the 60s. 8pm Dew Points...maybe re-install in Tolland so the kids can cool off in a drier air mass after hiking around the neighborhood?

GFS is wet all afternoon/evening in SNE. Canadian has it moving in between 2-8pm. Euro is very wet Thursday morning into afternoon with a possible break to more showery QPF in the late afternoon and evening, before steady rain comes back overnight.

Models not named ECMWF, GFS or GGEM? Have you looked lol?

Some good SE flow downslope wind gusts today west of the Greens. KRUT gusted 51mph (44kts) this afternoon. Some spots closer to the western slopes likely saw some 60mph gusts. KRUT 271756Z AUTO 13026G34KT 10SM -RA FEW018 OVC047 08/06 A2983 RMK AO2 PK WND 12044/1721 SLP099 P0004

Febreze works great. Hope your wife feels better.

See, those are the obs we don’t get in the summer . BDL got into the 50s.

No shortage of heavy rain events in October. This event will bring us to roughly 6" of water this month. This will be the 4th event this month with 1" or more it looks like. Some spots just north of here are likely going to be near 8" on the month based on the CoCoRahs reports.

Nearing 1” now.

Torrential rain. Two nearest PWS are showing 0.79" and 0.89" respectively so far... both with around a third of an inch last hour.

What a quick hitting QPF punch. BTV with 0.53" in past 3 hours. Looks like we'll be pretty similar here.

Yup. Just pouring rain. Drops are huge. MVL at 0.39" in past 2 hours. Steady 0.20"/hr type stuff.

Ha the old blindingly bright sun reflecting off the wet pavement and fresh snow on the sides of the road. A new bottle of washer fluid daily, yup we all know that time of year.

Was 29F at 3am, now 40F and pouring rain. 0.19” last hour.

I thought he was saying less than 30% below normal. Not 30% of normal?

That's where I would fall. Maybe there's a difference between a "statistical ratter" vs. a "psychological ratter." Statistically a big storm or a couple quick storms can make a huge difference in the overall numbers. But as weather geeks, having nothing to track for months at a time is brutal. I mean we look forward to winter all year long because we love the anticipation of big model runs, the analysis and discussion as snow events are approaching... I think as a whole we get more satisfaction in this hobby from the quantity of trackable events. A dozen different snow events (even if a parade of 3-6") is fun to be a part of throughout the winter on the forum.... rather than 3 months of nothing followed by 1 huge storm. I really look at it as the number of events is what makes winter really fun, because for us it's being able to look at the models and discuss the snow... rather than just end of the year total.

Even a HECS in '11-12 would pull it out of ratter territory in Boston... if going by pure snowfall totals and percentages of normal, I feel like any winter with a HECS cannot be a ratter in places that average say 45" or less. A HECS of 24-36" or even a MECS of say 15-24" can put a big dent in those season total percentages of normal.

Cold smoke season can't come soon enough!

See I don't think being married changes the dynamic as much as having kids. I don't have kids yet but being married didn't really change all that much.... if I wanted to chase a Sierra snowstorm, my wife would be like "Let's go on an adventure, I'm already packing." Being married hasn't really limited anything, IMO. Still have the freedom to pretty much go and do whatever. I would imagine having kids would change that approach, lol.

I guess what I just laid out leads to another question.... for those of you who average in that 40-50" range, if you knew you could have a 24-36" event at the end of winter, but you also had to accept 3 months of mid-winter darkness only giving you sloppy 1-3" then rain SWFE's that add up to maybe 12" total in 90 days... do you take that trade off? Or do you roll the dice and rather see a parade of 4-8" all snow events through January and February giving you the same seasonal total?

Yeah it's an interesting discussion. Many look at it as the final snowfall total when the season ends. Because of that, I think it's always hard to forecast a "ratter" when even 1 big snowstorm can remove a lot of locations in SNE from ratter territory if it's purely by snowfall totals. You could have the worst winter pattern imaginable for months on end, but pop one KU storm on the way out of winter in March/April and it's no ratter. Say you average 47" of snow a season. You get an awesome 12" storm in late November. Then for the next 4 months (Dec/Jan/Feb/Mar) you add only 6-8" (no more than 2" in any one system) in what is one of the most brutal 4 month winter stretches for a snow lover. April 1st you get a 1997 storm with 30" and it's a top 3 lifetime storm... but it all melts in a week or less because it's April. That winter ends up with a seasonal snowfall of 12+8+30 for 50" total... above normal snow on the season! But for 4 full months, through the heart of winter darkness, you never saw more than 2" at a time and only 8" total in one of the worst stretches imaginable. That winter feels like a 50" ratter, ha.

What we your seasonal snowfall total, Hoth? How did it compare to 2001-02, 2006-07, 2011-12, 2015-16? Purely curious, no motives or any judgment on what's a ratter there, ha.

Yeah last winter’s mountain snowstakes pretty much paralleled your 68-69 analog and even passed its snowpack at times. Most of the winter though the only year with a higher depth was 68-69. It was a solid analog, IMO. Just missed a bit to the NW.