powderfreak

2002-03 my last winter living down south we had 2-3” near ALB in October, then followed with 100”+ winter and months of snow cover. Everyone remembers 2011-12 though as the Oct snow vs winter snow correlation. Maybe it’s >12” in October is bad news? Lol.

I just think the October snow stuff is foo-foo even in SNE populations. I get the stats with extremely limited sample sizes...but just wait till that winter where it snows 4” on Halloween then 100+ the rest of the winter, ha. In the NNE mountains it makes sense there’s no correlation as it snows a lot more regularly in October...and a wide variety of winters follow. No precursor indicator. October mountain snow is like November snow in SNE. Maybe there’s a September snow correlation in the NNE mtns?

Fire escape . Early snow is great snow. Lay that base and lay it thick. Didn’t see the lawn for a solid 5 months. Bring it on.

Really hurt us last year when it started snowing in October. Record snow depth achieved in November and again in January, maxing above 120” in March/April. Start the snowpack early and it usually means good things.

We snow.

Yeah we’ll see. DDH and RUT ASOS can put up some good winds on the downslope. Can often get 850mb wind speeds to the surface in the lee side.

Man look at those ESE downslope winds on the west slope of the Greens. Those are usually legit. Out of all of the posters here, @backedgeapproaching to DDH might stand the best chance of high winds due to the downslope gusts. The mountains make it so you don’t have to worry about track or inversions...those strong winds love lee side mixing.

The amount of leaf drop at the mountain is incredible... has to be 50% bare now with scattered orange color. Town at 700-900ft is probably just past peak, trees in our yard are almost completely bare.

That dynamic cooling on the GFS is pretty crazy. Oh how we can dream. Thats an elevation blue bomb.

Interesting GFS run there, ha.

There’s some real strong mid-level forcing well west on a lot of these runs, then it occludes and seems to lose its juice.

Dammit. The NAM dropped my MVL snowfall from 9.5” at 12z to only 2.6” at 18z.

Great day to be wandering through the woods with the wife and dog... Vermont wins foliage. I don't know if its species diversity or what but man, every single year it is absolutely ridiculous.

Makes a lot of sense visualizing that.

The NAM did something similar over VT. The 12z GGEM just brought like a foot of snow to the higher peaks of the Adirondacks. Picnic tables across the northeast are put on notice. Could be a real summit thumper somewhere... like 6" at 4,000ft and 0" at 3,500ft ha.

12z GGEM goes over Tolland... might get some SE MA into the warm sector on the east side looking at the temps.

Crushes parts of Maine with snow... Allagash Wilderness gets caked. Might even get some summit level snows on the cyclonic flow up this way but need another 1C to really get excited.

How much for the Picnic Tables? NAM is tossed for it's -3C 850mb air and snow levels getting down to 1,000ft... GGEM had a foot of snow for the higher peaks in the Adirondacks and snows up near First Conn Lake. EURO more tame but did switch the picnic table elevations over to snow at the end for a few inches.

A couple degrees cooler at 850mb and that’s a paste bomb for mtns. Gotta warm up our upslope forecasting techniques there.

The SNE lapse rates are incredible at times from valley bottoms to 1kft, but it's been like that for as long as I can remember, ha. Still can't radiate for sh*t but the day time temps are definitely cooler. The high temp up here at MVL can often be similar to ORH on sunny chamber days.. but then the lows will be 10-20F cooler.

The sniff test doesn't seem that bad? It's slightly colder than other SNE sites but the greater anamolies have been to the north for the past several months... but it looks like that's bled down the higher terrain in SNE a bit.

Same departure up here at MVL.

Ha no they start mowing in late August when the ground growth reaches its max height. There are mowing attachments for the snowcats they drag around to cut the tall grass down. It makes it easier to open trails early season without 5 foot tall grasses.

Another Top 10 Day. Sunshine, foliage and 60F. What a week of COC weather. Couldnt ask for a better week of weather for foliage viewing. Town feels like Cape Cod traffic on July 4th.

It's a savage competition to be the first open ski area... I'm pretty sure Keystone opened one time with their night skiing lights at like 4-5am, when A-Basin and Loveland had to wait for the sun to come up. It's fun though, they try to one up each other.