powderfreak

I doubt it’s all rain though. Wet snow/ZR for the higher terrain is my bet. Won’t crack freezing up high on east slope.

Been a crazy variable winter up this way using the MVL 30-year records... November was fantastic at -6.1 departures and some winter events to start the season. December was +0.6 and then January has been +6.0. That's incredible to me... having two months close by at -6 and +6.

That is insane. Great video of them just loading yards with snow. Need that lane open...what a storm.

But your climate isn’t frequent snows...it’s less frequent snows with the chance at a larger event here and there. I get it, been a poor winter but it seems ratter and futility get thrown around far too often. Winters like 2011-12 and 2015-16 had no chance in New England for sustained winter. What are high on the grading list over snowfall? (Purely curious, not confrontational)

It’s also like people haven’t lived through a below normal snowfall season either. It’s like the options are “ratter” or above normal snow. Also really dumb to throw in the towel in areas where one good bomb can get you to near normal snowfall in SNE with totals already amassed.

So far this January has had a max/min spread of 31/14. That's +6.3 above normal. It has been a mild month. Short bursts of arctic temps among long stretches of near-freezing temps.

Most interesting part of the day was seeing what looked like wood smoke, stuck under an inversion in the lower elevations as late as noontime. It was like summer-time fog elevation right in the immediate river valleys. That look of smoke going up and hitting a short ceiling is pretty cool to see at midday.

Ice isn't safe even in Quebec... 1 dead and 5 missing when snowmobiles fell through the ice. 8 tourists went into the water, 3 are being treated for shock. A tour guide is dead and five others are still missing after their group’s snowmobiles fell through the ice along Quebec’s Lac Saint-Jean Tuesday night, reports CBC. Quebec provincial police launched a search Wednesday but had to call off the search as nighttime fell. Two of the snowmobiles were located, but not yet recovered. Divers will begin their search again at first light today. In what almost became an even bigger tragedy, a provincial police pilot involved in the search was injured when his helicopter crashed into the water. His injuries were not life-threatening and no one else was aboard. The deceased snowmobiler has been identified as Benoît Lespérance, 42 from Montreal, who was guiding the group of eight French tourists. He died several hours after being admitted to the hospital.

It’ll be a net gain in LE in the snow pack...and it could still be a net gain if the back end snow works out. We just need to wait till the flow turns westerly and take our chances.

Posted it in the main thread but probably belongs here instead. It's nearly 30F in Burlington this morning while it's low single digits in the RT 100 corridor on this side of the mountain. Even in the 20s on the summits. Look at that warm corridor on the VT side of the Lake where temps are 25-30F, while interior valleys and hollows are near zero in spots of NY/VT/NH. Good luck trying to forecast these temp ranges. Some 20-degree spreads even in very close proximity to each other.

Ha even better, it’s near 30F in BTV and 2F at MVL. That’s an incredible temp difference from here to there. Then it goes below zero in NEK.

What an inversion this morning. 3,600ft... 26F 2,600ft... 22F 1,500ft... 20F 750ft... 2F w/freezing fog/mist My car said 4F pulling out of my driveway an hour ago and then going up the hill to the base of the ski area the thermometer was jumping by like 2F at once lol.

This looks like a good antecedent air mass prior to an approaching January storm...

We are all backyard biased by far. Honest statement deep down.

Ha yeah I mean I haven't been very excited on this one... we've been between the forcing (NNY and then the WCB along the coast) on every single model run. Even the snowiest runs looked like half an inch of QPF, lol.

Yeah it's just the high res maps show why the model soundings are showing snow at times. Pounding isothermal 0C to -1C while the coarse maps may have it above 0C.

Ha yeah now I'm reading up. Those WSI maps look like terrible resolution... yeesh. Then again maybe we are spoiled with maps that show these little couplets of upslope cooling to -0.5C and then downslope to 0.5C on every axis of terrain. It still amazes me that the models can see easterly flow and cool a pocket on the east slopes or the same with westerly flow in the other direction. Just these little things that maps like the WSI one will never be able to handle.

It’s weird how different that looks than the WxBell 850 temp maps. Had more pockets of 0C stuff in VT, NH, ME.

No you aren’t, stop lying, you’ll still check each run

Once these systems mature though it’s like hit or miss mid-level banding. Just sit and spin and one zone can get 8-12” while another area just happens to fall in mid-level subsidence and gets 2-4”.

I forget you spent time up in Maine in the snow belt didn’t you for college? Man the time flies but shows how long the core group on here has been around.

You have a laundry list of storms I’m jealous of. Goes both ways.

Looks like an occluded hit or miss Swiss cheese snow map lol. That one got plenty far enough. Don’t need to rip this up the Hudson or CT Valleys.

March 2001 was a fantastic storm, don’t know what you are talking about .

Driving to Morrisville to get some stuff from NAPA Auto Parts and saw the NOAA techs checking in on the MVL ASOS. Keep doing God’s work and keep the observations coming, ha.