powderfreak

Ha, Mother Nature has given SNE the winter taste after last season, and that won't be satiated for quite a while. But good for them, they had it really rough last year while we were piling up feet in the hills. I'm glad we put down almost 2" in squalls at home today... grass covered again and looks like winter with blowing snow, comes with the benefit of very little shoveling too. It's always odd to me that I check the models all the time on little events like Tuesday but then you get some squalls and it delivers probably more snow than the highly tracked event. Regarding Tuesday... certainly not feeling all warm and fuzzy, the convective looking stuff after that event though might be interesting.

GFS usually has a SE bias, so I’m going with that for now .

2-3” wind blown. Snowy evening. Probably more snow in a couple hours from some squalls than this system everyone is tracking, lol.

Getting destroyed. Quick 2” so far at 1500ft. Whiteout at times.

Squalls mean business. “Traffic is currently stopped on VT 108 in both directions due to conditions on the road. VTrans is en route. 12/15/19 3:04 PM”

Loving these lake streamers into the Mansfield Massif. Pounding again. Quick 1-2” so far this afternoon.

Just getting crushed at the mountain in these squalls. Very low vis at times. Almost graupel filled too, convective.

Good to see more posts from Dryslot and not 10 pages of new posts after the 12z NAM/GFS. Must be better up here then. Less posts good, more posts bad. Usually a good indicator, better than any single model.

Holy winds. Gusting 55mph at the base area and 70mph higher up. Kids rolling like tumbleweeds in the gusts. Snowing most of the morning too...mostly cosmetic snow to whiten it up again.

18z EPS... the mean is only five hundredths of an inch less in QPF than the 12z up this way. Still a decent spread compared to the OP.

Some narrow zone would get a decent event out of that...with light mood snow accumulations across the rest of SNE/CNE.

Ha, yeah I have liked the mid-level look for some arcing bands well north and blossoming as upper air support moves in from the west...displaced from the stronger isentropic lift moving through SNE/CNE. RT 2 to Dendy is a climo favored spot in SWFE type deals and this looks like it may fit that bill. Just far enough north to stay snow and just far enough south to get the juicy lift. Of course I could certainly envision it getting squashed such that Tolland Massif stays all snow. That 18z NAM looks least likely, ha.

Yup I agree. You guys are getting your mojo back after last winter. Last year no matter what the models said everyone was assuming congrats BTV or Montreal, even if it showed a CT jackpot lol. Now it’s like folks believe again.

Ha, yeah been so f’in busy ramping up for the holidays at both work (mostly hiring and training staff so they don’t get run over by the freight train arriving in Stowe on 12/26) and home, that my AMWX time has certainly taken a hit the past 2 weeks. Hoping for a little refresher on Tuesday, we’ll see.

I feel like everyone is rooting against us. Should probably report some posters for talking about solutions I don’t like, just like when Dr.Dews gets reported for posting rain maps in SNE .

Merry Suppression season?

Merry Suppression season?

Great mid level magic on that Euro run at 12z...

I like the look up here. Some mid level fingers of fronto possible with higher ratios.

I don't know when the site changed but the airport location is definitely a snowier spot than lake front. I know the 60s and 70s were snowier, along with recently in the 2000s... big storm frequency is also up. It would be interesting to compare various sites around New England.

Noticing BOX has Winter Weather Advisories out for some freezing rain... the same advisories they had out for 8-13" of snow in the big storm. Had me chuckling that they had it for some light ZR and also had that headline for a caking 8-13" of snow as well.

Region wide 2-6" seems like a good bet right now, from Canada to the Sound.

It's New England.... I can't remember a December where it didn't rain at the picnic tables at some point, lol. I've seen the worst in 2015-16 and that really put things into perspective. 0.25" of SN/IP before going to -ZR/RN. Roads just wet but there's some glaze on the evergreens.

-SN up here as well. Cars dusted up at the ski area....but won’t be long for this world as 4,000ft at the summit is now 33F. That warmth aloft explains the aggies falling, clumping together.

I mean there’s no one that would toss those 12z GFS and GGEM runs next week.