powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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The radar certainly supported Sugarbush getting more today. Overnight it could dry out and the northern spots may catch up with upslope on half the liquid. I do think SB/MRG got the best QPF.
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They were getting hammered this afternoon. Best axis was central ADKs through Sugarbush to MPV highlands, at least what I could see. 1.3” of paste at home. Looks real pretty though, seems about the best way to run that low snowfall. Every little twig is hanging onto snow. Was 2.5” leaving the mountain at 8:30pm.
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2” of absolute paste on the car at the mountain. Probably 6-7:1 ratios. I noticed MVL was 33-34F the whole time...that won’t cut it without some big rates. Snow Cam showing 3.5” or so up at 3,000ft.
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The Sugarbush web cams looked real nice this afternoon. I think SB jackpotted today. We are up to 3” at high elevations but only 1-2” down around the base area.
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Pure butter (or buttah as they say) this morning with above freezing temps and thick high ratio snow groomed out... I love this surface condition. GP crushing it down Gondolier today. 3-6" or 4-7" type event coming up for the hill from noon Saturday to noon Sunday IMO.
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It is very sound logic in this progressive flow. The non-sound logic that gets to the same ending is that lows trying to track over the coastal plain from HFD to PWM usually tick east anyway towards the water and baroclinic zone along the water. I’m always skeptical of that track as shown.
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Man if we could only lock that in. Sucks its still 4-5 days out. 24-hr totals. Just a huge chunk of New England in 6+. Most of it occupied by trees and moose though.
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It’s January 3rd. That seems like a long time away.
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Still a nice event on the Euro. Should be good for a few inches tomorrow.
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Yeah we take and add to our “pack”... i think 3” is a good number.
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I always sell those. It takes a special pattern to produce that.
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You can see the differences in phasing on the individual members of the GEFS and EPS. Everything from max snow down your way to some showing like monster totals in western and northern NY...and everything in between.
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Yeah I’ve got 2-5” for the Mtn right now. I think ratios could be lower with mild-ish boundary layer so those 10:1 maps might be a bit high. Take 8:1 or so.
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I mean it wouldn’t take much with that phasing to include many more folks in SNE. GGEM showed how it can be done. Worth at least keeping an eye on.
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GGEM and EURO really blow that Day 5-6 thing up. GFS not biting, but looks like some of the GEFS members have similar higher impact snows for the interior. Long way out but that should be the next one worth watching.
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What a weenie run of the Euro last night. Gah. Day 5 threat. Day 10 totals.
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Really good consensus this morning now between ECM/GFS/GGEM/ICON. They all show remarkably similar outcomes. Still time for it to go to shit though.
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I mean I don’t hate that EURO look. 0.55” QPF as snow for MVL. Gotta start making up some ground on climo.
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Big change at 00z for Reggie. Holding on for dear life up here.
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I’m ‘85... March ‘93 is my first real weather memory. I remember going to a blizzard party next door where we could play Nintendo while it dumped. As a kid, walking through blizzard conditions for 100 yards down a quiet suburban street was like an epic migration and worthy of a memory.
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Not asking for sympathy, ha. Just relaying the facts. The statistics are what they are, but it doesn't mean we weren't having fun today. Low tide and you make the best of it.
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Nope, hasn’t been good up here but from a NYC area perspective it’s always going to “do well.” The mountains are well below normal in snowfall. Only 75” on the season at 3000ft+ and 25” at the Stake. We had more than that last November alone and ended November with 40” at the Stake. But we’ve been lucky to have snow on the ground for the most part since mid-November at home. Last week was really the only bare grass patchy cover.
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That’s a nice look right there for sure. Much more wiggle room than the GFS. Reggie past 48 hrs though.
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Haven’t seen it past 48 hours out? What’s it show? Don’t have that extended link on my phone.
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Man it looked like SNE was stealing snow yesterday to now being near the mix line.
