powderfreak

Yeah they will likely do 2-day totals as that’s what the Warning was for.

Yeah I think it’s 15” as we got an inch of sleet last night to add to 4” yesterday and 10” today.

Can see where it’s snowing. Green traffic in SNE and all orange and spots of red in NNE.

Picked up about 10” today at the mountain. Fairly evenly distributed at all elevations. But that was one of the heaviest 3-4hr bursts we’ll see up here. Tons of QPF. The ASOS had like 0.30” water in 2hrs there and that’s probably under reported.

So looking at the Snow Cam... 9am nothing... 1:30pm there's about an 8" stack. 8" in 4.5 hours and it really didn't get going until 11am to be honest. We are checking the High Road stake manually in a bit to see if it confirms.

Seems steady around 2"/hr. Probably varies short bursts from 1" to 3"/hr.

Just incredible snow.

Nuking.

Yeah it happens in these with the northerly drain. Any time of CAA from NW, BTV will cool a lot faster. Just bleeds down the Champlain Valley. This morning the coldest places on the PWS map were right on the lake shore.

This is wet paste here. Could be like 8” on 1” water. It’s on power lines, trees, and roads are real greasy even with only 1-2” last 60-90 min.

I figure about 2-4pm will be go time. Gotta see if those heated walkways can keep up with that, lol.

Best forcing is still down between ALB and SYR but lifting northward. That radar almost has a Valentine's Day 2007 type band look to it. It took a very similar track with strong forcing from west of ALB up to BTV land.

Just pounding snow now. Man that stuff stuck quickly to the freezing rain on the trees. Pines sagging fast on only a wet half inch.

It really depends on how one measures the winter. I feel like there’s been a shift on the forum in grading winters. Early on with WWBB and EUSWX, everyone judged winter solely on inches of snow. Doesn’t matter when or how, if on April 1st you had X-inches relative to normal, that was that. Many still do that, I generally find that snowfall is what you look back on as a single number. Like in 30 years, snowfall will be the quick and dirty look. Maybe it was because back on those forums we had mid-Atlantic folks with us, but snowfall inches was the holy grail to grade a winter...and ratter had to be a very specific snowfall amount to be counted. One storm can take a place quickly out of ratter territory even if the rest of winter does nothing at all.

Crusty the Clown visited last night. Dog can walk on the pack with that ZR layer.

@Organizing Low in the Northern Champlain Valley there you could get like 10-14” in the next 8-10 hours if you are already over to snow. Got a healthy 1-1.5” QPF to go on all the models.

My gut says it’s more diffuse and a bit further north. It’s pretty crazy to have a 970s low cutting right through New England in early February.

Pretty decent gradient there on the 00z Reggie. I mean no matter where that sets up, if there's a gradient even close to that?

It’ll be interesting for sure. Whatever happens, the models are all showing 1.0+” QPF in 12-hrs tomorrow. Scalping sleet followed by pounding snow? I’m not sure I remember the models so adamant for days on an axis of ridiculous precip. 12-hour QPF...not storm total to go.

I actually remember you posting about that event. Hopefully you grab some ice tonight too.

Amen!

Light sleet up here. Freshly groomed dog path next to my house, wintry appeal. We’ll see what tomorrow brings.

I usually love convection. Bump that nor'easter westward all day long. I still think we have a fun period of snow tomorrow.

There's a ton of convection in the deep south. Always seems to play with these big southern lows.

Tucky tucky. The HRRR tracks the low over SLK lol.