powderfreak

There we go...00z NAM products look more interesting.

SLK ASOS has been reporting light snow for the past two hours as the cold front moves through. Snowing on the Bolton Valley base cam at 2kft. It's going to be a late March or early April style air mass?

Deep rolling thunder here this evening. Dog forgot what it was, freaked out a bit.

Haha, yeah fair enough. I think squalls or convective elements will over produce in some areas even down your way and in SNE. Graupel and flakes in short duration low-visibility bursts. It's really cold upstairs for this time of year, its pretty much the PV of May overhead during max insolation on Saturday. Certainly not as much fun as shacking up with a fine NNE specimen in a cabin at 1,800ft in a rapidly deepening synoptic storm, but I think there's some action on the forum as folks report frozen and squally weather.

I think there will still be flakes flying. Going to be several different things going on from WINDEXy to the low to the follow up energy sparking more squalls.

5-8” in the Catskills towns and 8” in Woodford, VT near Mitch’s hood were the jacks. Pretty anomalous system for sure, ha.

Tonight I gotta get out the external hard drive and find my May 18, 2002 photos from Albany... we got 2.5” at home. I still remember waking up and looking outside and being like no fukkin way.

EPS ensembles for me, ha.

It seems it but it’s really not that out of the ordinary, above normal snowpack but we got a nice bump from the cold April. Craziest part is the end of April was higher than the beginning of the month.

Really hard to get a uniform snow Depth this time of year. It varies so much depending on aspect and even over very small distances, like a ridge in the woods was wind blown through winter and has no snow but there’s 2-4 feet packed into the sides of the ridge. Then you look across the valley and it’s bare to 3,500ft since it faces southeast. It has been very cold as we all know, I truly think it was cold enough to pretty much stop melting in April above like 2000ft. You don’t notice it down low but take another 10F off the monthly temps for 2000-2500ft and higher and you actually get Snow preservation temps. I’d say the second half of April and early May at this elevation in this cold pattern is like SNE in early March. You get some daytime melting on sunny days but it’s also still snowing.

I’m at 2,600ft right now. Probably 20-30” on the ground here but NE facing. Haven’t hit the Spruce line yet. The upper east slopes last forever as they don’t get quite the angle of sun during max heating that the west slopes do. This same elevation is likely bare on the other side. Still 50”+ at the picnic tables at 3500ft+.

I would much prefer days like today. Full sunshine and 55F.

Ha looks like we have to go about it the orographic way on the GGEM now. Luckily we’ve got a few ways to make some winter. I’d be surprised if that cold pool this time of year doesn’t get the terrain to fire off some snow. Phineas is about to find out how that works lol.

Euro is going to go down. GFS looks great for you.

Still going reverse psychology? This winter has really broken you. I miss the old DIT who would find any which way for it to snow in Tolland.

The model differences are absolutely astonishing to me from 00z and 06z in all suites. Hopefully 12z clears it up. It was literally cutter to snows in Montreal to suppressed so much that it might be south of the Pike. Crazy town. You can find a model to fit your thinking right now.

I’m just going to keep looking at the 00z GGEM. This is most likely at this point, no?

NAM even further SE, lol.

18z EPS beefed it up a bit...but pretty stable.

That is so cold. Solidly into the 20s and snowing.

Interesting compared to American guidance. What a crush job NEK VT into NH/ME mountains.

First time for everything... now the ICON is the model that portrays the upcoming EURO run?

Ha I know, Kev seemed to already know though.

What’s it show?

How do ratios there have anything to do with it snowing here? That train of thought is putting my brain into a pretzel trying to figure it out.