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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. powderfreak
    Euro stays the course. Gets the mix line up to about here before it gets shunted south again.
  2. powderfreak
    12z Herpes gone wild too, over an inch of water here just like HRRR. I think they are on the juice literally. I think these are too far south to be honest with the mid-level warmth, but we’ll see.
  3. powderfreak
    Yeah I’ve been stuck at 3-7” for northern half of VT for several days. Dense on 0.50-0.75” water. We’ll see some sleet or ZR before the better lift moves back in. Looked like soundings had two distinct times of lift... first with warm front then again on the back end when the vort swings through.
  4. powderfreak
    That 12z HRRR went nuts. Looks very excessive. Not sure how it gets 1”+ QPF.
  5. powderfreak
    12z NAM shockingly a bit warmer aloft, lol.
  6. powderfreak
    These shouldn’t be bad. You can clearly see the modeled p-types. Those snow maps only count the snow portion of it. Like that snow map didn’t count the heavy sleet in Mass.
  7. powderfreak
    Better than the tropical tidbits ones that include sleet as 10:1 snow. They do differentiate snow vs sleet but it’s at 10:1 ratio which is actually pretty high for this event. I mean half the issue is do you agree with the model’s p-type output, but the snow maps are just pure 10:1 ratio of the snow p-type.
  8. powderfreak
    The 3km NAM made a noticeable shift south.
  9. powderfreak
    That’s where I’m at... I think it’s a widespread 3-7” for NNE but someone could deform their way to 8-9” though it may be like Northern NY and southern Quebec. I also think snow growth will be real shitty, we could also go to sleet if the mid level warm tongue punches further north as these system have been known to do. I think it could be like 7:1 ratios for a lot of us in the means. Sort of like 3-5” of dense white material on 0.50-0.75” water.
  10. powderfreak
    Nice two storm totals.
  11. powderfreak
    Ha gonna be at annual snowfall average quick at that rate with the other storms too.
  12. powderfreak
    Definitely better here than 12z.
  13. powderfreak
    Nope it’s pretty sad. At least it’s been white but it’s towards the bottom of the whisker and box plot distribution. My only solace is how many days the grass has been covered has been at least ok. Just enough weird 3-5” microscale snows after the thaws to keep it going lol.
  14. powderfreak
    Yeah I’m sure you didn’t think the Randolph 1750ft observer would have 1.5” depth going into New Years Eve, ha.
  15. powderfreak
    Yeah that’s what I’m thinking more and more. Low snow ratios too even in mostly snow solutions. Maybe 3” of dense material on 0.50” water.
  16. powderfreak
    Of for sure, I’ll take 3” and run.
  17. powderfreak
    The jump on 3km from 6z to 12z is lol. It was practically sunny north of Montreal at 6z.
  18. powderfreak
    Yeah that was a step back.
  19. powderfreak
    Probably means suppression depression here. The kiss of death is “probably looks good for most” when it comes from a SNE’er .
  20. powderfreak
    Was surprisingly warm this morning, freezing levels rose to 2,000ft overnight. Was 34F with a coating of wet snow at 1500ft when I arrived at 5am.
  21. powderfreak
    Nice 6z Euro run.
  22. powderfreak
    Great EPS mean snow run for ski country.
  23. powderfreak
    I'm only busting Phin's balls... if you love weather, the total cost is very low relatively speaking to everything else in life. I don't subscribe to any service in the summer.
  24. powderfreak
    I do weatherbell. But have had weathermodels, which was good. Just got used to the layout of wxbell. Some also like stormvista.
  25. powderfreak
    A weather model subscription to get the EURO for a winter probably costs less than 3 inches of one single log in your many thousand square foot home, lol. I'd be signing up right now. I drop subscriptions on things like candy. If I want to watch a show and I can do it with $8 for a month, done deal without thinking.
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