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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. The poor upper Cape sticking into the minimum.
  2. Awesome dude! Enjoy it. Band looks sick. Clouds are finally moving in up here, ha. Nice sunny day up until now.
  3. I do love the big storms down there, when they happen they go big. Not worth the wait though for a biggie. I'll take the consistency all day long.
  4. Look at that inflow. Wow. That thing is going to rip.
  5. 4pm on Wednesday it’s still snowing. May not be the most impressive QPF run of the NAM, but the synoptics are similar. Two phases of the event up here.
  6. I agree with the BTV decision for Advisory over Warning, despite total amounts possible. I think impact wise up here, in an area that does snow well, the long duration never comes all that close to warning level time frames as far as inconvenience. It’s a longer duration light/moderate snow event where it can add up over time to decent totals up in the northern mountains. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 655 PM EST Sunday...Have made some minor updates to temps and sky cover based on crnt obs and satl pics. Have noted more of a pres gradient acrs our cwa this evening associated with low pres over the southern Ohio Valley and cold arctic high pres over northern New England. This gradient, along with developing high clouds will keep temps slightly warmer tonight. Thinking lows generally range from the single digits to -10F to -15F acrs the NEK. Otherwise, mid/upper lvl clouds will continue to advect slowly into our cwa from sw to ne. Just a side note, we did re-issue the wsw product so our snow totals matched our graphics to help with a consistent message, but no change to headlines were made. This upcoming event will be a long duration event 36 to 48 hours with several different phases. Bottom line expecting a widespread moderate snowfall, with hazardous travel expected Tuesday into Weds. Previous discussion below&&
  7. That bolded couldn't be more true. I know my opinion is known there, but that jet coming ashore into eastern SNE is conceptually the easiest to imagine strong QPF no matter what. The atmosphere is fluid, that's a lot of moist air getting lifted over surface cold and land friction with good speed convergence. The old pile up on the highway as the flow comes ashore. Air has nowhere to go but upward. Strong low level lift underneath exceptional mid-level dynamics? Game on. Temperature profile is the concern on the coast, while lift and QPF is not. But if I was still to pick a fun place to experience this one, it's around your area.
  8. Caked views. Love that just pasted white against the bluest skies. That area always looks so white.
  9. Oh man was he out there for that last Sierra storm?! They have 90” on the ground at the Main Lodge base area and their 24-hr totals for Jan 27-29th were 40”, 34”, and 23” .
  10. Ha, anything 3”+ is the level of satisfaction with any event or snowfall... meaning the RGEM would be extremely satisfying.
  11. It looked pretty legit based on the thermal levels. Just surprised that it was getting that warm at 850-800mb. That 18z HRRR plowed the warmth aloft pretty far inland. *This matters very little for anyone as it's in the dry slot, was just interesting to see.
  12. The 18z HRRR p-type looks weird. Is mixed precip going that far inland to like ALB-BML in the dry slot? lol.
  13. What an obscene Euro run for the entire forum.
  14. 36"+ settled depth there after this. Get ready for 40" on the ground?
  15. It's been like 5 days now of E.MA high-confidence in the firehose of moisture. It has been remarkably steady. Temp concerns aside, the moisture has been locked in for days there. You are going to get smoked in southern Middlesex Cnty.
  16. Looks like it finally shuts off after 9pm Wednesday, lol. Flurries into Thursday morning.
  17. Man, Euro still snowing through Wednesday afternoon. Piling up backside fluff. Will take the Kuchie Kuchie please, ha.
  18. You've got 24 hours of sustained ENE surface winds... which for you is like sustained NW flow here. Probably don't even have to look at models except for entertainment there in Randolph, ha. Just like when we get NW upslope, you know it's happening, the models are just entertainment at that point.
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