powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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Ah gotcha. Yeah over the last many years you just get used to nor'easters being more coastal plain storms, ha. You look for the other storms that don't snow in those areas. It's a tough habit to break though, always wanting to be included in those big ticket items. We'll get the consistent snow cover and some good storms, and they'll get the occasional big moisture laden ocean storm.
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This is the first one though right? The last one missed north.
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That's a very interesting pattern. Off and on. Interesting if there are different initializations or parameters in place between certain runs. -
1-3". Some upslope snow showers. Still snow on the trees has kept it wintry, high of 32F today helped. Much better than the single digits and below zero cold of recent days. We rely on some weak moisture and NW flow for this system on the backside. Ratios likely help as it's cold aloft. Maybe J.Spin and favored calm fluffer locations pull 4"?
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You look good on that run. I like being where the QPF gradient is, that's often where mid-level banding finds itself for whatever reason. That QPF map leads one to envision a band paralleling the Maine coastline somewhere on the Plain, and then curling into SNE. Good slug of precip to it's east and a sharper than modeled drop off to its west.
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Ah shit you’re right. Didn’t realize it was raining down there. My bad for sure. I’ll delete other post. Here’s the snow storm.
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It's pretty cool that you can see a weenie band in the 18z EURO QPF progs. Looks like a finger of mid level fronto that develops on the front side and as the low passes that longitude. H7 wind flow goes pretty much calm over the zone, which seems weird and maybe I'm not visualizing it correctly. I'd think there'd be more convergence vs divergence in the wind barbs.
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I was thinking 2-5" for Woodstock area, so that fits. I think there's a low prob of 2" unless snow growth somehow is putrid and would lean more towards 12:1 and 4-5". Mid-level banding is always the wild card west of the best QPF.
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Sensor malfunction? I honestly have no idea how those lightning sensors work to begin with. We watch them a lot at the ski resort in the summer and they do seem to like phantom strikes sometimes. “Like well that one looks on top of us but no one heard or saw anything.” Then again they are correct a lot of the time.
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50s and then a snowstorm? Sign me up. High of 32F here today.
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That sh*ts wild… the stopped vehicles just slowly following gravity.
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Early look 18z HRRR went wild on the south shore. Good banding from Long Island to Ginxy to you on the simulated radar.
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Haha I hear ya. I’d stand under it but wouldn’t jump on it from above .
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You think ratios will suck?
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How do you look at that snow map and arrive at mainly 1-2”? That’s like DIT seeing it and saying 5-10”.
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The irony is that’s probably the safest place on the slope now that the hill’s energy has been released. There’s nothing trying to pull that top part down anymore, like the slope’s rubber band snapped and there’s zero tension.
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These western avalanches have been insane. Here's one from the Wasatch in Utah. Death is certain if you get caught in anything remotely close to this size.
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Still looks like high POPS for snow across SNE.
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You would've loved the SREFs and the ARW family back in the day up here.
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I kind of like the 18z EURO Kuchie map for some reason. A widespread 3-6" with locally 6-8" is just what this forum needs. It'll be interesting to see the snow growth potential the next couple of days. Ratios always matter... small flake vs deform dendrites. Kuchie runs fluffy when its cold.
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We almost got one yesterday with 24-hr max of 11F. It’s crazy how cold the last two days have felt despite it being fairly routine January fare. Body gets used to endless highs in the 30s.
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Good points, that feeling of needing to maximize every chance. I also see some views that if I had to commute into Boston with traffic, that 3” may not be worth an extra hour long sh*t show in a car to get home or whatever. Anyway, I often draw the line at 3” as that’s the amount that often makes a visual difference that “it snowed.”
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You’ve had 4” total this winter? Wow I definitely thought it was a bit better down in the RT 2 area. Still knew it was bad but that’s worth b*tching about.
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I don’t get the forum aversion to a 3-6” snowfall. Sure, it’s not a big bomb or as exciting, but 3” or more is where a landscape goes from perpetual autumn to “hey it’s winter.” This winter 3-6” is a big deal too.
