powderfreak

Mount Snow to Killington looks like the jackpots so far. The core of the ULL went right over the southern Greens, makes sense.

Just looking at the models… 0 precip falls from 8-9pm. It’s now to 7pm or so for us.

Non-accumulating wet snow at 3,600ft. Still seeing mid-30s up here.

I’m not sure, going to need to happen quick in about 3-4 hours of work. I’m leaning more 3-5” summits and 0-2” below 2,000ft. 925mb temps stay 0C or 1C. Though I think 1500ft ends with the ground white. I just don’t think the QPF will be there for 5-6”+.

Hoping some of this at elevation is snow... a solid shot of moisture over the next 3-4 days.

The 18z Euro had a healthy 6-hour burst along the Green Mountains tomorrow evening. The vort max and best upper level support goes from C.VT to N.NH and W.ME. That to me is the path that may see lower snow levels.

I grew up night skiing too. It’s a big part of my childhood skiing experiences. Memories from turning under the lights and riding the chairlift in the dark still dominate from that time in life. Stowe used to do night skiing off the Gondola when I was in college. It was always empty and cold, but there’s a different feel on the mountain in the evening. Stopped offering it due to lack of participation, among other reasons. Folks on ski vacations like to ski during the day; they are tired at night or want to go out to dinner/socialize. Bolton Valley still offers night skiing and is only 25 min from the Burlington area. That market keeps the night light dream alive.

20 miles? That seems like a long way in weather differences.

That was one of my favorite events to watch unfold even being well out of it. I remember being at the Mtn Ops Center at 5am and getting no work done drooling over the BGM observations… I’ve never seen those hourly water values in a cold season fronto band. My sister’s pics were insanity of like 40” overnight near the BGM airport.

BTV’s version. Fits the thoughts from last couple days. 3-6” summits down to sloppy coating-1” around 1,000-1,500ft.

18z NAM.

Some good energy in the trough coming up early next week... maybe a chance of some squally weather?

Hopefully there are some good clear/cold set ups where all elevations go low. Snow cover would help. Showery regimes with rounds of vort maxes moving through, they tend to keep the wet-bulb temps up. We need some highs in the 20s at 1500ft. Elevation dependent precipitation types usually means disappointing snowmaking. 26-34F type temps can be fun with natural precipitation but snowmaking really starts to succeed at wet-bulbs under 26F for 6-8+ hours. Above that it can be hard to justify the effort. It's certainly the most wintry look of the season and will be most welcomed.

Yeah it looks like a classic stretch of light events but lots of activity and flakes in the air. The type of stuff that can add up over time for the elevations. It's great this time of year, exciting squalls, periods of snow showers, just the ground being white is a novelty. By March we are a bit jaded but right now, even showery, cold pool light accumulations are really fun. Meteorology definitely is more fun in the cold season than it is during the warm season. I find myself checking the models more frequently with each passing day.

Yeah once the surface flow can tug NW. There’s southerly flow ahead of it with a warm nose creeping north at the start. If that low can get its act together might even see a quasi-CCB try to briefly form.

Yeah that sounds about right. I think 1500ft can whiten up at the tail end. Coating to 2” seems reasonable for that elevation… 1-2” if it flips early, coating if it’s the tail end. It’s really only like a 3-5 hour burst as it moves through. I think it’ll immediately wet-bulb the snow level down to like 2500ft when precip starts but holds there for a while. Then towards the end of the steady precip we see the snow levels drop down to even 1,000ft… but wet ground and waning precip keeps accumulations 1500ft or higher. The timing is perfect though over your way Phin. The best precip rates look to coincide with the coldest diurnal time of day (early Sunday morning)… so that time of day can sometimes surprise with snowfall levels lower than anticipated. These marginal events can also favor west slopes locally (the other side of Mansfield) and over towards Alex…as a marginal sounding can get a little upslope cooling assist when the low level winds go NW. Even that extra few tenths or half a degree Celsius of cooling from forced ascent can be the difference of many hundred feet of snow levels.

That's what I've got... I think the true accumulation stays above 2,000ft but flipping to snow at the end down to 1,000ft or even mangled flakes below that. The bulk of the precip seems to be with a freezing level around 925mb. Fast moving, so I like 2-4" above 2,000ft or even a above 2,500ft.

Looks like a nice elevation event. I'm thinking around these parts in VT you'd want to be primarily above 2,000ft given the freezing level around 925mb. But check out that lift in the snow growth zone.

We laugh but have to respect someone who takes pride in the appearance of their property on such short notice.

Will you be able to sleep with that mess of leaves out there? ”Mom, why’s Dad leaf blowing at 2am!?”

Says it’s 34F outside but already frost on the car at 7pm. Need some snow to preserve but keep wasting money on fake cold.

Yeah as long as you pay it off… if not, it removes the benefits because of your interest accrued ha. But if you pay off everything each month, they give you free money and benefits. Even if it’s just $500-$1000 annually, it’s still money you are getting back just for paying all your expenses with their card.

Cash back, enough to pay our internet bill monthly. Basically pay everything with CC, get enough cash back to go out to dinner one night or cover a small bill.

We do too. Always pay it off but get cash back and points for all.

More interesting.