powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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She likes this duff .
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There it is. 2500ft all flakes.
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Went over to frozen just now around 2200ft. We’ll see higher up.
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Yup that’s exactly what I’ve been thinking. If there was more cold or a bit more resistance, this no doubt would lean SE… but the air is rather marginal so it’s hard to say it can’t amplify a bit more into the warmth.
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Leads to big fake cold afterward
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Yeah trends are good at this point. Some of the longer range models had this as a rainer so probably some chance for it to amp up. GGEM was pretty similar to NAM/ECM. Worth watching for sure.
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12z NAM is all jacked up on Wednesday. 6z EURO was looking nice too, not quite as amped.
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Now we all know that you can survive without heavy jackets if the temp drops below 65F in the summer.
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I like the Bretton Woods area to be honest... models are showing it but I think the setup fits. Diane and Alex, on the WNW slope of MWN and the local topography. Elevations of 1,500ft as the valley floor in the basin to the NW of the Presidentials. That is the snow zone in the next 5 days to be honest. The low level NW winds, underneath moisture advection from the south, east, northeast. Upslope flow and CAA, while synoptic moisture is present aloft... it should snow in that zone.
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Oh interesting, I didn't see many runs (even long range) bringing synoptic snows down south of the Pike but I definitely might have missed them. I thought they had some flakes but nothing that some squalls couldn't accomplish either.
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Still definitely can. Just need some squall or snow shower to pop up or more through. Can whiten up the grass and mulch beds for a decent SHSN.
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18z Euro is a bit less amped at the end of the run. Might start as a brief period of snow in “interior” SNE? Looks like Pike north best shot based on 925mb as precip moves in.
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Holy shit.
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Dog got a roll in one of the remaining Stowe “piles”… about 8” of water logged frozen matter masquerading as snow, each one occupying about the floor space of a two-car garage . It’s sort of a bizarre scene if you didn’t know about snowmaking. Just these equally spaced small areas of snow dotting their way down the trail and surrounded by grass.
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It’s a start. Wednesday Snow and rain likely. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Wednesday Night Snow likely. Lows in the mid 20s. Chance of snow 60 percent.
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Might be less marginal for CNE to NNE. Definitely a chance for first widespread snow of the season.
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Could get some elevation snows going tomorrow afternoon/evening?
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I’m en route with the dog lol. There we’re a few patches I could see on North Slope but effectively nothing. The other night’s strategic objective was stress test and training (had a crew of 15 out there, ha)… look for problems to fix in this warmth. But system handled 75+ guns fine and new guys got some good knowledge. They are ready to go tomorrow night. Snowmaking is very well staffed after last years’ issues. That made me feel all warm and fuzzy.
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I like 1-3" into Monday morning for the hills. More like 2-4" over by Alex and Phin.
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Mount Mansfield set record high of 59F at 2am in the morning. That's wild, ha. Near 60F overnight at the picnic tables on 11/12.
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It was pretty incredible to see it be mid 50s last evening... and then RISE overnight... in mid-November in NVT. 6am was 64/63 at MVL... that's warmer than half the 6am temps this past summer. It would feel ridiculously anomalous except for the low 70s last week at 6am . It's bonkers.
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1.74” here. Drizzle for now.
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Fake warmth.
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1.74” rainfall.
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57/55 in RN/+RN heading into mid-November is a warm night up here. Dews in the mid-50s at this time of year is noteworthy. However it’s a step down from multiple evenings in the 70s… so it feels like a natural progression despite being so far above normal.
