powderfreak

These 10:1 ratio maps are highly misleading based on smoothed/mean elevation zones... but the axis of the 00z GFS and GGEM looks pretty similar. I'd go 8:1 below 1500ft though. The two 00z global models out so far look oddly similar in the axis of snow.

Anything completely covering the grass at this time of year is a huge win given the record warmth the past couple weeks. 1.5-2” usually gets it done on the grass for that wintry vibe.

A laptop just went out the window in Randolph, NH? Wish Phin was around for these NNE events.

Dude that’s awesome. I admire your dedication to the high-end winter experience. Its so aesthetically pleasing from what you show.

Around 11am this morning there were 160 snow guns firing between Mount Mansfield and Spruce Peak. Down in the base areas at 1,500ft, where the real battle is fought every November, everywhere you looked there was snow coming out of a gun... land frames, towers, fan guns. It was invigorating. A few days ago when record highs were falling, it seemed hopeless. Today it felt different. A show of force, especially the base area efforts. A ton of capacity was aimed into the lower elevations, knowing the upper mountain above 2,500ft will have the best parameters this week. Thank a snowmaker.

Yeah and the FIS has cancelled like 6 or 7 races world wide already this season due to warmth and lack of snow… I think they are jonesing to get one in. They definitely give Killington’s snowmaking the benefit of the doubt.

Agreed.

A helluva lot less than if that axis was 100-150 miles SE, that’s for sure.

GFS has a real nice upslope signal Thursday morning.

Must be your first time on here. No one on any of the forums back to WWBB and EUSWX have ever discussed what would need to happen to get higher winds, more rainfall, more damage, more ice, more snow, hotter maxes, colder mins or any number of more extreme outcomes. Everyone comes here to discuss how to get the most mundane outcomes possible.

.4” is a legit dusting ha. Microclimate.

Yeah I’m thinking here or a little bit south towards like MPV-Sugarbush zone. Models have been pretty consistent with some fronto-banding somewhere arcing from N/C VT into NNH. Just depends where and how robust. Sometimes it not a bad thing to be a little further north if mid-level banding realizes a bit north. NE in VT into Coos County probably a bit better for later development? Doesnt matter… just get the ground white for the first time this year.

Yeah I noticed that too and there was some dipping dots in the grass this morning.

Oh Euro. You and the GGEM.

I like the BTV forecast… 2-5” lower elevations below 1000-1500ft and 6-10” mountains. Seems about right for now.

30F and breezy with some renegade flakes flying in the flood lights. Wind chill in the teens? What a change from 72F at 5am in the last week. Picnic tables down in the mid-teens now. Should not be noteworthy in mid-November but here we are, ha.

Nothing more on-brand than the NAM reminding everyone cheering at a colder surface that Mother Nature can still find other ways to end your fun . Its been very consistent showing sleety profiles lifting north.

I would imagine the stronger surface would help with NE surface flow there as the low trajectory is more east than north tracking? Stronger that gets and moving east I’d think you’d drain cold in faster. As it goes over the canal you are strengthening NE surface winds.

Tick tick. I thought it went more NW with the SFC . Love the nitpicking we do. 12z then 18z… 12z missed the Cape all together.

Low got stronger and even ticked north from 12z, tracking over the Cape Cod bridge, and the result seemed to be a bit more compact and cold on the north side. Probably the hope is to get it as strong/dynamic as possible for those borderline thermals?

18z Euro goes bonkers with the mid-level fronto forcing in S/C VT on NE.

Feels like being a child again lol. You know the power of snow… makes men drive hours and hole up in shady motels in the middle of nowhere just for the taste. It’s a sickness.

Finally some legit -SN in town. Good sized flakes. First of the season.

First legit snow shower in Stowe Village of the season. Always makes you feel like a kid seeing it in your backyard that first time.

She’s 7.5 now, got a reconstructed knee this summer and back to 100%.