powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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Birch in the yard is just flattened. What an over performer. Measuring about 7” on colder surfaces at home.
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Full on war zone. Birch bender. 6-8” up at 1500ft. Backyard cam.
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I-89 in Waterbury and then the RT 108 near the Stowe base area.
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2”+ of paste now on the evergreens. It is getting wetter. End is near or there may be some power outages. Silver dollar flakes.
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Not very exciting night outside of a low population NNE area. Too many posts in a row for me. But sort of a weenie worthy evening locally. RT 108/Mountain Road cam almost to the ski area base, just past the VT State Ski Dorm.
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Snowing very hard here to start. Pasty snow down in the valley bottom at 750ft.
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If only it was cold and not a marginal -1C to +1C thermal column… and the 10:1 maps were a possibility. Theres a lot of QPF tonight. Above the snow line is going to get an absolute paste bomb. Hopefully the Spine can hold onto snow above 2,000.
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Pretty wild thermal differences between east of Mansfield and west of the mountain. 31F base of Stowe vs 41F in Underhill on west slope. Light snow in town with gusty winds. Sticking now, ground seems cold at least.
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We went from a quarter inch grazing of QPF to maybe an inch of rain tonight. Above 2000ft on the mountain is real marginal. Could go either way up high. Need these west shifts when it’s cold enough.
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Yeah I use 925 as at least 2500ft and 850 is 4500-5000ft.
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17F. Tonight looks like it could be a fairly decent elevation snow event for parts of VT and especially NH/ME.
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Lets go clowns.
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Sitting at 11F here. MVL at 12F. Its cold.
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I’m not sure it’s the right take, but to me the 47-67” season totals on Long Island are some of the more impressive numbers.
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Amen.
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Local Cocorahs guy melted down 4.6” to 0.75” water. That sounds about right for this stuff. Just absolute concrete and snowbanks more like a warning criteria event.
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Nearly 4” in Stowe of absolute concrete. Snowbanks are surprising for amount of snow. Has to be well over 0.50” QPF. Heavy sleet.
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Even the slightest ripple in the flow is causing mixed precip up north. I think the terrain is playing a huge role in p-types up north. Almost wonder if the lower or less severe elevation changes in areas south are not disrupting the marginal mid-level thermals as much? You want to be on the SE facing side of any terrain up north right now.
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My father says almost 2” and snowing hard near ALB at only 200ft in the Hudson Valley.
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Steady light snow now. Pretty interesting at how marginal it is… the ridge lines around here are showing mixed precipitation on the crests and immediately W/NW. The Worcester Range is causing a pocket of sleet on the east side of Stowe, and the Green Mtn Spine is causing it on the west side. Just the slightest downslope of mid-level air causing sleet.
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There it is, the correction vector cutting QPF by a half inch after 4 runs of steady increase at MVL.
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Yeah I was just looking through it, those soundings are incredibly marginal around 850mb. I'm just more curious on the QPF... that's what doesn't make sense. But maybe it's over-doing the lift/precip rates, and that's cooling things a bit more than reality will have too. I've got 3-4" for the mountain and some IP/ZR then ending as drizzle/rain showers.
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Even at MVL... starting at the 18z run, it's gone like 6", 7", 8.5", 10"+ last four runs. I'm trying to find a nowcast reason why it's going absolutely bonkers, and thats all through like 10am tomorrow. Like 6 hours of 0.10"/hr< QPF.
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The HRRR has been on absolute meth lately. It just keeps ramping up every hour. 10:1 isn't happening, but what is this thing doing?
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00z snow maps are overdone, and Kuchie brings it decently lower than 10:1. Have to think the mid-level warming comes in faster than projected here in VT. But maybe the interior CNE and NNE crew can thump for a couple hours. 4” soaking up drizzle and -RN would be a nice event. GFS. 3KM NAM looks more realistic. Advisory level event. HRRR very wet along the eastern slope with the SE low level flow under the SW flow WAA aloft.
