powderfreak

57F at BTV at 11pm. Could literally have the windows open there tonight, in February. A cold 45F here. Light rain starting.

Yeah absolutely. Thats why I keep thinking there has to be some background atmospheric circulation pattern that isn’t directly related to just a warming world. And at some point it needs to or will shake up to get us out of this “warm eddy” or whatever.

Walking the dog right now in just a long sleeve shirt. Warm breeze. 57F at MVL at 4:45pm. Climo for the first week of May.

The interesting part to me is that it doesn’t seem spread evenly through the year… it’s very much a thing of like Feb-May lately. Maybe less snow cover across N.AM or drier air somewhere… there has to be a background reason for some of this, aside from a few tenths of CC warming. Or something in the circulation is allowing air masses that used to stop in the mid-Atlantic are now blasting through NNE much easier.

Ha, call it the “2000s Warm Period” or whatever so as not to trigger anyone but I’m fully on board with Tip’s idea of these exotic spring warm bursts, especially in NNE. Every year now it feels like we are popping some high-end temperatures that are top 5 for their month’s. It feels like the last 10 years or so, each month of Feb, Mar, Apr, or May have had some monster warmth. Whether it’s like 95F+ at 750-1500ft SLK/BML/HIE/MVL in May, or 80+ in March… last year it was April that got the record torch. It doesn’t feel like we do it in mid-summer or even autumn to winter. But spring time or during the time of increasing solar, at some point the atmosphere likes to maximize the physical limitations of the boundary layer.

Interesting that 16 of February’s 29 days have had their record highs set since 2012 at BTV. 140+ years of records and 56% of the daily maxes set in the last 12 years.

BTV popped a 65F…. lol just destroyed the old daily record of 57F (records back to 1882). +30 over the normal high of 35F. Today’s 65F is the third hottest temperature ever recorded at BTV in February in 140+ years. 1) 72F 2/25/2017 2) 69F 2/21/2018 3) 65F 2/27/2024 @Typhoon Tip has been mentioning these early heat bursts a lot and up here has got that mold with exotic warmth at times Feb-May.

It's so nice. So many people seem upset about it but if it's going to happen, might as well enjoy it and make the most of it. Today was a blast. Tailgating parties going on, not a single trail closed on Mount Mansfield up here. Skiing around in a hoodie on soft snow. Feels like late-March but can't control the weather so might as well enjoy the snow beach.

We've had snowcover all winter since November it has seemed like.

20F to 57F here so far. Feels like late March. What a beauty of a day though. Snow in town is getting torched.

Ha, Wolfie snarls. It’s still too early for 90s. No one wants to deal with that in February. Not in a historical context, just general sense was the discussion.

What does that have to do with being way too early or not? It’s way too early to be 90s regardless, just on a “damn that’s hot” scale.

20F this morning and already 41F by 9am. Recovered 20F in a couple hours lol.

Looking at the rough colors on CoCoRAHS, they’ve had less than this area in VT has for seasonal snowfall. We’ve been the luckiest despite insane departures.

This one isn’t even remotely close to 15-16 up here. We’ve had several good storms and the mountain is already well past that winter’s totals. We literally didn’t get a 4” event in town that year. At least this year we’ve had snow cover pretty much most of the winter. Back in late November and early December we were ripping off damaging paste events weekly, that was fun at least.

Jealous. 42F max here. Rain and snow showers, mixed with sun. Graupel too. Very March vibe. Picnic tables got 2”.

No change from the rest of the winter. We are solidly “winning” the departure game this winter. Just month after month of +8 or higher. The fact that November was below normal, then followed by three straight +8< months is a pretty incredible flip of a switch.

Yeah maybe he meant it lifts out quickly. But the public is going to notice this one when it’s 50s and 60s and then single digits north to 20s south.

We go from like 50F to +4F. That qualifies up here. Looks like 24-hr temp changes are 30-40F across the region. Thats not a weak FROPA.

About an inch dusting last night coating the trees this morning.

Getting into the spring time gradients and kinematics.

Today felt warmer than the temps, that late-Feb sun is more like an October angle now. Instead of a November/December/January darkness and weak solar minimum. Derby Day tomorrow should be interesting. Fast conditions on XC skis down 2,000+ vertical feet… Every day I try to put a little reflection into the afternoon update.

This frame/look is rain to cold, even into NW NY. It’s showing QPF ahead of the front.

That’s pretty insane for Lake George.

It feels like Arctic tundra out there and it’s really not even *that* cold. Single digits in February, seems normal ha.