nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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10/4. Tick tick tick down.
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I mean, sure it might be right tomorrow but at least so far with temps, its busting high out here (and sounds like by you too).
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I’m giving you a C- at best at trolling. I’ll keep you posted how that call is tomorrow from McHenry.
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Congrats Broadlands
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13/4. 00z 3k NAM running 4 degrees warmer for their 9p 2m temp. Weenie in me says extrapolate that to the mids tomorrow too…
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16/4. 3 degrees colder than 18z 3k NAM forecasted for 7p here. Just sayin…
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I think I found a more confusing map to read than DT’s:
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18/4. Sunset tonight was spectacular. I had to pull to the side of the road driving back from the trash/recycling center to snap a quick photo. Wisp mountain looked on fire.
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It almost looks fake, that’s wild. Also those people in the beginning of the video are idiots.
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Awesome, man. Keep me posted. They do a great job with snow cleanup here — they may still be snow covered in spots but traction is good. WRX is AWD right?
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Really bullish. Going all in on 12-18” for Garrett County through Monday night. Lines up well with the latest Euro which is ~18” by Tuesday day break. The WAA could surprise if we can score some good banding and keep the 700-850 levels colder. But I still think bulk of the snow is actually overnight Sunday/Monday into Monday night. Fun few days coming up!
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His final call map will be out after precip starts.
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I haven’t been there but I’ve read great things this season about them. Conditions will be perfect with powder falling Monday.
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Waiting at the tire shop getting my snow tires put on for the season — sorry to those out in the mountains for jinxing the storm now.
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You missed the rest of Virginia.
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Yep, when you see the final accumulation maps showing 10”-12”+, there’ll be some folks out here screaming bust when there’s mixing tomorrow night/poor snow growth and 1-3” on the ground. It’s sort of a two-parter - WAA where we’ll deal with lower ratios and mixing with sleet and then pure fluff Monday into Tuesday AM where we stack up. Y’all are going to clean up with the the upslope down there. I’ll do well up here but this setup will crush Davis.
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Similar flip time on the Euro for DC but slightly less QPF so totals are lower. It also has the Monday AM light snow pulling through mainly N MD. It’s looking increasingly likely out here in McHenry that the bulk of the snow will come from upslope. Euro has a “warm” layer at 700 poking into western MD (-1 which is warm for that level) which will likely mean less than 10:1 ratios. Ratios greatly improve as the low gets N of our latitude.
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Kind of amazing how much weight is being given to the NAM in here. It seems overdone but shrug — at least we only have 36 more hours to find out
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I passed it on the way here and put out a “BUY ME NOW” sign
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It really hasn’t wavered for days. I’d trust Euro and (starting tomorrow) 3k NAM with thermals. Or just blend the wettest + coldest models for the weenie way.
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Through end of the run (captures the upslope).
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DC flips just before 7 looking at the soundings….and ~0.3” QPF falls by then.
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Nice man, enjoy the storm. I’m starting to think the mountains will get more snow Monday AM into Tuesday AM from upslope than the WAA portion. That strong of a LP with the NW winds will really crank the upslope. Regardless should be a fun Sunday and Monday. Glad you got there safely.
