nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Upslope cranks for the mountains as the low pulls N/NE of the region. Good for the ski places.
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I do not understand the “omg, the thread killed the storm” vibe here.
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Nope, still a terrible model regardless of the epic snowstorm it just spit out. I trust the NAM more than the ICON.
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982 up the Bay lol
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Recon sampling the sw over the Pacific
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At least we’re only an hour away from extrapolating the 84 hour NAM…
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Yeah, 12z EPS was better vs 18z. I think its more likely this is suppressed or too far East/OTS than an I-81 runner. Clearly everything is on the table 5 days out.
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Trough on 18z EPS is a bit broader so the MSLP is a bit east at 18z compared to 12z.
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Getting held in place by the ‘ocean bomb cyclone storm of the century hide your kids hide your wife’ storm
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Hi, welcome to the Mid-Atlantic forum where the tides turn on a dime. Are you new here?
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Not that the ICON is ever worth analyzing but to my weenie eyes, it looks like a portion of the s/w phased in with the closed low in the southwest so it was a much weaker vort than 12z. Just one of many solutions on the table - but ICON is a shit model so there's that.
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Coming out of the hot mess that was December, its pretty remarkable we're tracking a potential 3rd event in the last two weeks - with a pattern that screams winter weather the rest of the month.
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Let me know - happy to meet up for a beer.
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I'll be in McHenry this weekend...Euro made me giddy.
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We went back in time!
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Ji will be happy - another snowstorm on the GFS at 384H.
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Probably Sunday morning for the extreme SW parts of the area but Sunday afternoon/evening into Monday for the majority of the area. Definitely keep an eye as this is far from being set in stone. Hope the Bills win! Break a few tables in the parking lot for us.
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I love how TT just completely skips hours 102 through 144 for the ICON
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I'm enjoying the slightly later sunsets - noticeably lighter at 5p now (sunset today is 5:06p - 20ish minutes later than mid December).
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Thanks for posting. Do you have this plot for 00z? I subscribe to Pivotal and they have basically no EPS products.
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No doubt. Fix that sht now vs April.
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I’m terrible luck at games. Sigh. Good beer though.
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Let’s go Caps!
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+1 for a lesson - I did a lesson at Wisp a few years ago and it was definitely helpful. I also think skiing is kind of like golf….you need to keep at it.
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Ralph will be in the LR soon discussing why he thinks a perfect pattern worries him b/c something won’t work out and there’s already a breakdown showing up and the OP euro showed exactly how we can fail and he called it and yeah. All those things.
