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Everything posted by Wannabehippie
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Right now Erin is moving NNW, so the GFS model might not be picking up on that. No current flights in to Erin, but last flight, had a higher pressure that the last NHC report. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF308-2005A-ERIN.png
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https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/05L_intensity_latest.png
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2:00 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 Location: 26.1°N 72.5°W Moving: NNW at 10 mph Min pressure: 958 mb Max sustained: 105 mph
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INVEST 99L - FAT L (NOW IN THE EPAC: 0/50)
Wannabehippie replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
How much will the upwelling from Erin inhibit this invest along with the other disturbance out in the Atlantic. -
Looks like there has been upwelling from Erin. How much will this impact this disturbance and the other one out in the Atlantic.
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https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/05L_intensity_latest.png
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Good image of Erin, plus the SAL behind it.
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8:00 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 Location: 25.2°N 72.2°W Moving: NW at 7 mph Min pressure: 958 mb Max sustained: 110 mph https://olorin.tropicaltidbits.com/satimages/goes19_ir_05L_202508191212_lat24.5-lon-71.8.jpg
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11:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 Location: 24.4°N 71.7°W Moving: NW at 8 mph Min pressure: 949 mb Max sustained: 125 mph
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Anyone know why the AF recon earlier today did this pattern? https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF308-1705A-ERIN.png
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8:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 Location: 24.1°N 71.5°W Moving: NW at 10 mph Min pressure: 947 mb Max sustained: 130 mph Weakening a bit, and going NW now.
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5:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 Location: 24.0°N 71.3°W Moving: NW at 10 mph Min pressure: 937 mb Max sustained: 140 mph
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2:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 Location: 23.5°N 71.1°W Moving: WNW at 10 mph Min pressure: 937 mb Max sustained: 140 mph
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Eye obscured, and looks to be open to the south.
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looking very healthy.
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8:00 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 Location: 23.1°N 70.5°W Moving: NW at 13 mph Min pressure: 933 mb Max sustained: 130 mph
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Looks like Erin is trying to clear out a large eye.
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Is it just me or is there some shear going on in the NW quadrant? https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=05L&product=ir
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No changes on the latest advisory. 5:00 PM AST Sun Aug 17 Location: 21.7°N 68.5°W Moving: WNW at 13 mph Min pressure: 946 mb Max sustained: 125 mph
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2:00 PM AST Sun Aug 17 Location: 21.3°N 68.0°W Moving: WNW at 13 mph Min pressure: 946 mb Max sustained: 125 mph
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8:00 AM AST Sun Aug 17 Location: 20.7°N 67.0°W Moving: WNW at 14 mph Min pressure: 940 mb Max sustained: 125 mph
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11:00 PM AST Sat Aug 16 Location: 20.3°N 65.1°W Moving: WNW at 14 mph Min pressure: 937 mb Max sustained: 140 mph
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8:00 PM AST Sat Aug 16 Location: 20.0°N 64.6°W Moving: W at 15 mph Min pressure: 934 mb Max sustained: 150 mph
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Is Erin under going a ERC? blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/7eca5388-017a-47ce-ba1f-5432dbb94754
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Latest from NHC. 5:00 PM AST Sat Aug 16 Location: 20.0°N 64.0°W Moving: W at 15 mph Min pressure: 915 mb Max sustained: 160 mph