ChescoWx

Nice map! Only tweaks I would make is up to 1" in NW Burbs and move the 3" to 6" to more like 2" to 4" and 6" to 12" for NE PA

We can always find a snowy model if we did deep....

Great list Thank You! Below is some similar information for the Western Suburban County of Philly - Chester County Top 20 Least and Most Snowfall Seasons and top 20 all-time individual snowstorms. Last 30 year average snowfall for the County has been 36.3"

While today will be almost 10 degrees cooler than yesterday it will still be almost 10 degrees above average for the date. Cloudy today and tomorrow with rain arriving tomorrow after evening rush hour. The rain should mix with and change to snow toward rush hour on Tuesday AM with maybe a small slushy accumulation across some of the higher spots of Chester and Berks counties. Most of the rest of the week will feature more seasonable temps with Wednesday being the chilliest day with highs in the low to mid 30's. Records for today: High 64 (1960) / Low -13 (1899) / Precipitation 1.68" (1983) / Snow 21.6" (1983)

While today will be almost 10 degrees cooler than yesterday it will still be almost 10 degrees above average for the date. Cloudy today and tomorrow with rain arriving tomorrow after evening rush hour. The rain should mix with and change to snow toward rush hour on Tuesday AM with maybe a small slushy accumulation across some of the higher spots of Chester and Berks counties. Most of the rest of the week will feature more seasonable temps with Wednesday being the chilliest day with highs in the low to mid 30's. Records for today: High 64 (1960) / Low -13 (1899) / Precipitation 1.68" (1983) / Snow 21.6" (1983)

Plus 8.2 degrees here in Chesco...

Bernie Rayno is where I would put my faith it with this one "The big snows over 6+ are northern PA into southern New England, where the injection arrives Sunday night into Monday. Near I-80 in central PA to NePa and NW NJ likely a 3-6. 1-3 from Harrisburg to Allentown & northern NJ northwest of NYC. Mostly rain SE PA"

Euro with the Rayno jump north at 12z....big cut back for the Lehigh Valley from 9" last run now down to 2" there...

A cloudy but mild weekend with today being the warmest day for quite a while - in fact while today will soar well into the 50's we may very well not see a 50 degree or warmer day until we get to March. There is a slight chance of showers today but the main storm on the horizon arrives on Monday night. We should see rain possibly changing to wet snow from NW to SE toward Tuesday morning. Records for today: High 62 (1960) / Low 13 below (1899) / Precipitation 2.28" (2010) / Snow 22.8" (2010) - this was day 2 of our 6th largest snowstorm in County history with the 26.8" of snow that fell.

A cloudy but mild weekend with today being the warmest day for quite a while - in fact while today will soar well into the 50's we may very well not see a 50 degree or warmer day until we get to March. There is a slight chance of showers today but the main storm on the horizon arrives on Monday night. We should see rain possibly changing to wet snow from NW to SE toward Tuesday morning. Records for today: High 62 (1960) / Low 13 below (1899) / Precipitation 2.28" (2010) / Snow 22.8" (2010) - this was day 2 of our 6th largest snowstorm in County history with the 26.8" of snow that fell.

I am a big Bernie Rayno fan...he just said he is going against the current Accu Weather snow maps and believes there will be no snow at all in SE PA nada too warm. Says models will indeed come north this weekend and AccuWeather and others will shift their accumulating snow forecasts northbound.

To show how significantly the post observation adjustments skew the warming trends. Take a look below at the actual average Chester County PA average annual temperatures (orange) vs. the NCEI adjusted averages (blue). Keep in mind NCEI continued to apply downward average temperature adjustments to the actual averages each and every year for the first 35 consecutive years on this graph between 1970 and 2004. The actual true warming of Chester County PA (orange) has clearly been very modest and not alarming at all since 1970. However if we apply the NCEI adjustments look how much greater the warming trend line becomes.... well alarming.

Spots over 600 ft asl will accumulate....if there is snow falling that is

Through 1pm Tuesday the Euro has 2" at KMQS to 7" at KABE

Early spring incoming!

The NBM with it's nice blend has done IMHO the best job with storms so far this season...If I were in the Lehigh Valley and on northbound from there I would be pretty optimistic about snow. Down in southern climes like where I am....not so much.

No doubt you've all missed the one and only fabulous WXSIM (now featuring the Euro model blended in) forecast. WXSIM text forecast for East Nantmeal, initialized at 9:00 AM Feb 9, 2024 Monday night: Mostly cloudy to cloudy in the evening, becoming dense overcast after midnight. Rain likely after midnight. Low 34. Wind east-northeast around 2 mph in the evening, becoming 7 mph, gusting to 18 mph, after midnight. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Precipitation mostly less than a quarter of an inch. Tuesday: Dense overcast. A mix of snow, rain, and sleet likely in the morning, then a chance of a mix of snow and rain in the afternoon. High 37. Wind chill ranging from 25 to 31. Wind east-northeast around 10 mph, gusting to 19 mph, in the morning, becoming north-northeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly between 1 and 2 inches. Snow or ice (on ground) accumulation 3 to 5 inches.