ChescoWx

Heaviest relative precip of the day here in NW Chesco...transitioned from some spotty ZR to now all IP with the heavier precip - temp has continued to slide now down to our low for the day of 25.3 DP 15.9

Temp continues to fall here in NW Chesco but with only some light ZR and a few ice pellets from time to time - temp down to 26.1 down from high of 28.3 at 11:40am

Just started to lightly sleet here in NW Chesco temp at 27.6 DP 10.0 - of interest temp has dropped 5 degrees in Sea Isle City NJ and even ZR now at the beach

This low level cold is not going anywhere if you are N and W of the fall line especially with a solid snow cover in place - models will overdue LL warmth in these situations....

I too grew up and was living in the Great NE Philly on Waldemire Drive near Red Lion Road. I just remember they kept upping snow amounts - my main source back in the day was Eliott Abrams and Accu-Weather on KYW radio. Plus like you Jim O'Brien was the guy that got me into the weather....."it's gonna rain like a hose on a flat rock" That was back in the day before weather was a major part of TV news....and the on air weather folks were almost never professional METS just personalities like Jimbo! Back then sports used to be a bigger part of news than weather. I really think ever since the Blizzard of 1996 when all of the stations covered it all day and got huge ratings they figured out how good weather can be for increased eyeballs!

The obs from Chester County for Feb 1983

The biggest issue with this thread and why we MUST change the title is this was way too early and was not in fact Presidents Day in 1983 - that was 10 days later....it was a great storm. The biggest snowstorm in my life up to that point but it was not President's Day...just trying to be accurate!!

I always will take sleet given a choice....remember sleet of course still accumulates and counts as snow.....just accumulates at 3:1 on average vs 10:1 - plus no one loses power!!

Ended up with 2.0" in East Nantmeal Twp. in NW Chester County PA with (0.18" w.e.) Monthly snow now at 23.4" (+17.5") and Season to date snow at 38.9" (+16.1")Also snow covered at beach in Sea Isle City NJ - most snow they have seen this year down the shore!

Midnight Obs East Nantmeal Twp - Chester County PA Snow 28.2 Snow so far 1.0"

Flakes getting a bit larger here in NW Chesco temp down to 28.4 - will measure at midnight but a solid coating so far

Coming down nicely here in NW Chesco in East Nantmeal Temp 29.3

I post on 4 different forums - but this one is the most laid back - the others all have some drama based on mods....

looking at WB maps a little less in central areas and a little more toward the NE toward NYC......not a huge change either way but with potential good ratios these maps may not be that helpful anywho

12km NAM actually ticked less qpf on the North and reduced snow amounts....the "north trend" may be over....

Here ya go with 18z GFS/NAM data - this will change Wednesday night: Cloudy in the evening, becoming dense overcast after midnight, with areas of light frost likely. A chance of snow after midnight. Low 26. Wind north-northwest near calm in the evening, becoming east-northeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly around a tenth of an inch. Snow accumulation about an inch. Thursday: Dense overcast. Patchy light fog in the afternoon. A chance of snow in the morning, then a slight chance of snow in the afternoon. High 29. Wind east-northeast around 4 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly around a tenth of an inch. Snow accumulation about half an inch. Friday: Dense overcast in the morning, becoming cloudy in the afternoon. A slight chance of snow in the morning. High 31. Wind northeast around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly less than a tenth of an inch. Little or no snow accumulation expected. Saturday night: Dense overcast. A slight chance of a mix of freezing rain and sleet in the evening, then a mix of freezing rain and sleet likely after midnight. Low 31. Wind chill as low as 24. Wind north-northeast around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly less than a quarter of an inch. No ice (on ground) accumulation expected. Above-ground freezing rain accumulation up to 0.1 inches. Sunday: Dense overcast in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy in the afternoon. A slight chance of a mix of rain and freezing rain in the morning. High 40. Wind north-northwest around 6 mph, gusting to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly less than a tenth of an inch. No ice (on ground) accumulation expected. Little if any freezing rain accumulation. Monday night: Cloudy in the evening, becoming dense overcast after midnight, with areas of light frost likely. A slight chance of snow in the evening, then snow likely after midnight. Low 28. Wind chill ranging from 19 to 30. Wind north-northeast around 3 mph in the evening, becoming 7 mph, gusting to 17 mph, after midnight. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly less than a quarter of an inch. Snow accumulation 1 to 2 inches. Tuesday: Dense overcast. Snow likely in the morning, then a mix of snow and sleet likely in the afternoon. High 30. Wind chill around 20. Wind northeast around 10 mph, gusting to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly around an inch. Snow or ice (on ground) accumulation 5 to 8 inches.

Actually a simple feat...I remember a storm where we started at 3 degrees and 2 hours later it was 25 and IP and 1 hour later 27 and ZR....it of course has nothing to do with surface temps - there are no roadblocks to warmth above the surface. One of my favorite memories was in January 1994 when I was in King of Prussia and my thermometer read 24 degrees with heavy rain - the ZR accumulated as quick as I could chop it off my car - which at the time had those pop up lights.

I like a nice 12z ICON / NAM blend - really liking the ICON of late.....nice moderate hit for many esp. from Turnpike on south in my current view.

Wxsim with 18z NAM and 12z GFS has a wintry week ahead with 5" to 6" of snow/ice by next Sunday Tuesday: Dense overcast in the morning, becoming cloudy in the afternoon. A mix of snow and rain likely. High 33. Wind south-southeast around 3 mph in the morning, becoming west in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly less than a quarter of an inch. Snow accumulation about half an inch. Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, with scattered light frost possible. Low 23. Wind northwest around 4 mph. Wednesday: Mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy in the afternoon. High 33. Wind northwest around 4 mph. Wednesday night: Dense overcast, with areas of light frost likely. Patchy light fog after midnight. A slight chance of snow in the evening, then snow likely after midnight. Low 26. Wind east-northeast around 2 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly around a quarter of an inch. Snow accumulation around 2 inches. Thursday: Dense overcast. Patchy light fog. Snow likely in the morning, then a slight chance of snow in the afternoon. High 30. Wind chill around 22. Wind east-northeast around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly between a quarter and half an inch. Snow accumulation 2 to 3 inches. Thursday night: Dense overcast. Patchy light fog in the evening. A slight chance of snow in the evening, then a chance of snow after midnight. Low 28. Wind chill as low as 22. Wind east-northeast around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly less than a quarter of an inch. Snow accumulation about an inch. Friday: Cloudy. A chance of snow in the morning, then a slight chance of snow in the afternoon. High 31. Wind northeast around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly around a tenth of an inch. Snow accumulation about half an inch. Friday night: Mostly cloudy to cloudy, with moderate to heavy frost. Low 27. Wind northeast near calm. Saturday: Dense overcast. High 30. Wind northeast near calm. Saturday night: Dense overcast, with light to moderate frost. Patchy light fog after midnight. Low 28. Wind east around 2 mph in the evening, becoming northeast after midnight. Sunday: Dense overcast. A chance of a mix of snow and sleet in the morning, then sleet likely in the afternoon. High 31. Wind chill around 21. Wind northeast around 8 mph, gusting to 17 mph, in the morning, becoming 12 mph, gusting to 20 mph, in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly between half an inch and one inch. Snow or ice (on ground) accumulation about half an inch. Sunday night: Dense overcast in the evening, becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy after midnight, with areas of light frost likely. A mix of sleet and snow likely in the evening, then a chance of snow after midnight. Low 29. Wind chill as low as 20. Wind north around 9 mph, gusting to 19 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly around a quarter of an inch. Snow or ice (on ground) accumulation about a quarter inch.

Snowmageddon is here!!! enjoy