ChescoWx

Not sure what I am missing with all the doom and gloom. The NBM is far from shabby snow wise next week from Tuesday 7am thru Friday 7am

a run 12 days out does not a storm make or break.....

Maybe our cyclical climate change is taking us back to the period from 1967 thru 1977.....now those were lean snow years but still cold like this winter! Warm - cold - wet - dry - snowy - rinse and repeat in our constantly changing climate!

If we get that much we will be above normal snowfall for the year....people were spoiled by a couple of our snowiest decades during the last 2 complete decades.

Another solid 12z run....not sure it will happen but suspect most on here would sign up for this....

All looked great IMHO! for a solid snowfall for most of the region

Agreed! the models are very consistent in bringing a moderate event between now and Thursday.

Below are the 1st 3 of the 12z runs - simply looking at model snow amounts by Thursday morning. They are all in basic agreement on moderate snow totals across the area this week.

NAM with a look not too different from our last event for tomorrow.

One of the wintrier weeks of weather in several years is on tap for the area with 4 distinct storms with varying types of wintry precipitation. The first one arrive tomorrow afternoon as brief snow, sleet to freezing rain (ZR). This will be a colder event than yesterday with temperatures staying in the 20's for the entire event – maybe an inch or so of snow/sleet before the ZR. The 2nd event arrives on Tuesday and should be mainly snow....this has the potential to be a "plowable" event. More snow arrives Thursday morning, but it should change to sleet and freezing rain and possibly all rain before ending. The 4th event next weekend looks like it will be primarily rain.

One of the wintrier weeks of weather in several years is on tap for the area with 4 distinct storms with varying types of wintry precipitation. The first one arrive tomorrow afternoon as brief snow, sleet to freezing rain (ZR). This will be a colder event than yesterday with temperatures staying in the 20's for the entire event – maybe an inch or so of snow/sleet before the ZR. The 2nd event arrives on Tuesday and should be mainly snow....this has the potential to be a "plowable" event. More snow arrives Thursday morning, but it should change to sleet and freezing rain and possibly all rain before ending. The 4th event next weekend looks like it will be primarily rain.

The ensemble runs are a bit snowier than the operational runs of the European. The European shows 3 more winter storms over the next 10 days. The first one this weekend is snow to ice. The 2nd one in the Wednesday to Thursday time frame looks to be a "plowable" event. The third looks possible next weekend. The below are the ensemble runs for each of these potential events.

The ensemble runs are a bit snowier than the operational runs of the European. The European shows 3 more winter storms over the next 10 days. The first one this weekend is snow to ice. The 2nd one in the Wednesday to Thursday time frame looks to be a "plowable" event. The third looks possible next weekend. The below are the ensemble runs for each of these potential events.

Still some lite ZR here in East Nantmeal....couple ice pics as of 1130am

About 0.15" of this was from this AM

29.5 here in East Nantmeal with ZR 0.3" of sleet overnight

Still ZR Temp 29.5 with 0.3" of sleet

Sleet/IP Mix temp 27.8 all surfaces coated

Anything that falls after 9am would be non-snow if the 850mb temps are correct

Always buy the NAM on snow vs non snow....much better NAM run - significantly less ZR - still little or no snow in Eastern PA and similar sleet totals.

You think someone likes that garbage??

Here's hoping we all warm up faster than modeled!! No one likes ice!!

32.7 here in NW Chesco DP 14.7