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ChescoWx

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  1. Latest HRRR shows elevation driven wet snow tonight across the higher spots over 500 ft ASL across the area....especially the highest spots over 650 ft across NW Chester / SE Berks and Northern Bucks/Montgo.
  2. March - April - May Average Temperature Trends Raw Unaltered Data 1893 to Present - Near steady March and slight warming April with cooling in May.....
  3. Of course still no answer for chilling to levels going below any actual real observations across the entire County.....Not one station was accurate for up to 100 years? So after the fact we chill every single one of them??
  4. So far overnight we have received 0.06" of rain here in East Nantmeal. Our below normal temperature pattern looks to continue for much of at least the next week with only Monday looking to approach near normal high temperatures for mid-April. Rain showers this morning will become steadier and heavier tonight through tomorrow morning before tapering off to showers later Saturday. Rainfall amounts look to be between 1.0" to 1.5" for much of the area.
  5. So far overnight we have received 0.06" of rain here in East Nantmeal. Our below normal temperature pattern looks to continue for much of at least the next week with only Monday looking to approach near normal high temperatures for mid-April. Rain showers this morning will become steadier and heavier tonight through tomorrow morning before tapering off to showers later Saturday. Rainfall amounts look to be between 1.0" to 1.5" for much of the area.
  6. Funny how you again only cherry pick one station......again the entire county was chilled and altered to average temperature levels that almost no stations in the entire county ever recorded for 80 to 100 years.
  7. While it looks like we have seen our last measurable snow of the season....it is not unheard of to see accumulating snow here in Chester County during this full first month of spring. It has been several years since 2018 that we have recorded measurable snow. But on this date back in 1894 we were in the middle of our largest April snowstorm on record. Per the Weather Bureau observer (see his handwritten observations below) the heavy wet snow began falling at Coatesville at 10am on April 10, 1894 and continued to snow until 2pm on April 12th. By that time 29.2" of snow had fallen. Of note the temperature during the entire snowstorm stayed above freezing at between 33.0 and 34.0 degrees.
  8. While it looks like we have seen our last measurable snow of the season....it is not unheard of to see accumulating snow here in Chester County during this full first month of spring. It has been several years since 2018 that we have recorded measurable snow. But on this date back in 1894 we were in the middle of our largest April snowstorm on record. Per the Weather Bureau observer (see his handwritten observations below) the heavy wet snow began falling at Coatesville at 10am on April 10, 1894 and continued to snow until 2pm on April 12th. By that time 29.2" of snow had fallen. Of note the temperature during the entire snowstorm stayed above freezing at between 33.0 and 34.0 degrees.
  9. It looks like a nice soaking rain is on the way to the area from tonight through Saturday. This will continue to erode any remaining drought concerns for the area. Most spots should see between 1.0" to 2.0" of rain. We have continued to see below normal temperatures so far this month and this will continue through the weekend. In fact, many spots will stay in the 40's for high temperatures through Saturday. We look to briefly get back above normal early next week before we yet again fall to below normal levels by midweek.
  10. It looks like a nice soaking rain is on the way to the area from tonight through Saturday. This will continue to erode any remaining drought concerns for the area. Most spots should see between 1.0" to 2.0" of rain. We have continued to see below normal temperatures so far this month and this will continue through the weekend. In fact, many spots will stay in the 40's for high temperatures through Saturday. We look to briefly get back above normal early next week before we yet again fall to below normal levels by midweek.
  11. As always ignore and fail to show any support for 103 straight years of real actual data altering by cooling to a temperature often lower than any actual station ever recorded and only highlight a 3 year period.....
  12. This morning was the coldest April morning here in East Nantmeal 25.8 and across much of the area in a little over 9 years since the 24.5-degree low back on April 6, 2016. We will continue with below normal temperatures for the rest of the week before we warm near or above normal by early next week. Some beneficial rain is on the way to closing out the work week with rain arriving late tomorrow and lasting until Saturday. We could see over an inch of rain is many spots.
  13. This morning was the coldest April morning here in East Nantmeal 25.8 and across much of the area in a little over 9 years since the 24.5-degree low back on April 6, 2016. We will continue with below normal temperatures for the rest of the week before we warm near or above normal by early next week. Some beneficial rain is on the way to closing out the work week with rain arriving late tomorrow and lasting until Saturday. We could see over an inch of rain is many spots.
  14. Let's look at just West Chester. With the altered data NCEI does try to show clear warming. However, yet again (like Coatesville) NCEI chose to chill each and every year at West Chester for 103 straight years from 1880 thru 1982. So why did NCEI choose yet another station to chill to a level below any actual real observation in the county? Without that chilling West Chester shows almost no warming at all! Facts always win out!
  15. This morning was our first sub-freezing morning since April 2nd and our coldest morning since the 27.9 on March 27th. Behind the early morning cold front today's temperatures will be almost 20 degrees below normal for April with highs struggling to reach the lower 40's across the higher spots. The good news is we will see our first couple dry days in more than a week. A hard freeze will occur tonight with temperatures falling below freezing before 10pm tonight and lasting till around 9am tomorrow morning. So be sure to cover up or take in your sensitive plants. Tonight, will be our coldest April night since back on April 3, 2021 when the low was 26.3. We have an outside chance to reach our coldest April levels in almost 10 years if we fall to lower than the 24.5 degree low back on April 6, 2016. The below normal temperatures will continue all week with temperatures finally returning to near normal by early next week. Rain chances to ramp up again by Thursday afternoon and could last through much of Saturday. Current models have some significant rain amounts with between 1.25" and 2.00" of rain that could continue to ease any drought concerns.
  16. This morning was our first sub-freezing morning since April 2nd and our coldest morning since the 27.9 on March 27th. Behind the early morning cold front today's temperatures will be almost 20 degrees below normal for April with highs struggling to reach the lower 40's across the higher spots. The good news is we will see our first couple dry days in more than a week. A hard freeze will occur tonight with temperatures falling below freezing before 10pm tonight and lasting till around 9am tomorrow morning. So be sure to cover up or take in your sensitive plants. Tonight, will be our coldest April night since back on April 3, 2021 when the low was 26.3. We have an outside chance to reach our coldest April levels in almost 10 years if we fall to lower than the 24.5 degree low back on April 6, 2016. The below normal temperatures will continue all week with temperatures finally returning to near normal by early next week. Rain chances to ramp up again by Thursday afternoon and could last through much of Saturday. Current models have some significant rain amounts with between 1.25" and 2.00" of rain that could continue to ease any drought concerns.
  17. The data was indeed changed. altered and clearly chilled. The trend lines speak volumes. Without post hoc adjustments clear cooling with those adjustments clear warming.
  18. Unseasonably chilly week ahead for us with temperatures today through Wednesday remaining in the 40's for high temperatures. Today is our 8th straight day with measurable rain. We should see freezing low temperatures both tonight and tomorrow night. We dry out through Thursday before more rain arrives that night and into next weekend.
  19. Unseasonably chilly week ahead for us with temperatures today through Wednesday remaining in the 40's for high temperatures. Today is our 8th straight day with measurable rain. We should see freezing low temperatures both tonight and tomorrow night. We dry out through Thursday before more rain arrives that night and into next weekend.
  20. Chill the past and warm the recent and you get the results you need to see
  21. Fake data - there is no Coatesville data after 2007 . Plus look at all those NOAA Adjustments - cooling the past and warming the nearer years......Only looks like much warming if you make up station data and adjust the past!!
  22. Today will be our 7th straight day with measurable rain and tomorrow will make it 8 days. So far today we have received 0.07" of rain in EN. In addition to the showers, we will continue to turn colder with highs today close to 50 degrees a good 10 degrees below normal for today. This cold pattern looks like it will continue for at least the next week with the coldest day being Tuesday with high temperatures struggling to reach the mid 40's and a wind chill factor near freezing that afternoon. A freeze looks likely for most of the area on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday mornings.
  23. Today will be our 7th straight day with measurable rain and tomorrow will make it 8 days. So far today we have received 0.07" of rain in EN. In addition to the showers, we will continue to turn colder with highs today close to 50 degrees a good 10 degrees below normal for today. This cold pattern looks like it will continue for at least the next week with the coldest day being Tuesday with high temperatures struggling to reach the mid 40's and a wind chill factor near freezing that afternoon. A freeze looks likely for most of the area on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday mornings.
  24. Cloudy and much chillier today with temperatures struggling to get to the mid 50's. Normal high temperatures this time of the year are within a couple degrees of 60 here in Chester County. We will fall to well below those levels following a strong cold front passage on Monday. Highs Monday through Wednesday will remain in the chilly 40's before we moderate to near normal by the end of the week. We should see sub-freezing low temperatures on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday morning. Our average date of the last freeze here in Chester County is April 18th in the higher elevation spots and April 25th in valley spots. Rain chances will continue through Monday although the Phillies should have no issues with getting in today's game at 4pm. The best chance of heavier rain Sunday night into Monday morning. We could see an additional 0.50" to 1.00" of rain by Monday's AM commute.
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