ChescoPaWxman

Heavy Snow here along with PHL, West Chester, Pottstown and LNS We are now up to 2.8" here in East Nantmeal and really coming down. Temp is at 28.1

Up to 1.5" of snow so far here in East Nantmeal in Chester County Temp down to 28.6 with more heavy snow incoming

Moderate to Heavy snow now from York KTHV to Coatesville KMQS - including here in NW Chesco Temp is falling now down to 29.9

Snow starting to mix in with the light sleet here in NW Chesco Temp 30.8 DP 21

Light Sleet just began here in NW Chesco Temp 30.6 DP 21

We had 5.3" of snow just 4 years ago on November 27, 2014 in NW Chesco following 1.5" a couple weeks earlier on the 13th

Wxsim very much into sleet and not much into snow - with up to 2" of snow/IP followed by ZR with temps never getting above freezing here in NW Chesco with 0.1" of ZR

where are you? are you there for the winter??

did you move or just visiting somewhere?

Wxsim with 12z GFS/NAM went colder for NW Chesco - now shows temps staying below freezing thru entire event with 1.64" falling - looks like about 0.80" falling as IP.

The latest 12z Euro Kuchera maps which account for sleet and LL thermals - a little more realistic but IMHO still a bit high...

Continue to think this is mainly a sleet event N and W of Philly...with minimal snow even in burbs at the onset. The dry air drilling in however is impressive - but overrunning will get things going a bit earlier than modeled. With low DPs... temps will fall at onset and be slow to rise...hopefully the cold air gets scoured out before evening rush hour or else it will not be a pretty one out in the philly burbs as we transition to non-solid by late PM. By the way I for one think these early storms bode quite well for an active season with well above normal snowfall. I am working up my local winter forecast for the local paper and think we do a bit better than even last year's 59" of snow out here....just my 2 cents.

6z Euro really not much of a cave although the snow totals are ridiculous as it is counting sleet as snow...even EPS has 5" at Coatesville

Latest Wxsim for NW Chesco with 6z GFS/NAM combo has: Sleet/Snow mix arriving by 9am tomorrow temp at 30.7 Mod sleet by noon temp 31.3 Heavy Sleet at 2pm temp 31.6 (0.56" of w.e.) Heavy Sleet/ZR mix at 6pm temp 31.3 (0.86" of w.e.) ZR at 9pm ending temp 31.7 Plain rain by midnight temp 32.6 Heavy Rain at 3am temp 33.6 (1.40" w.e.) Back to Heavy Rain/Snow mix at 6am temp 33.8 (1.80" w.e.) Ends by 7am total precip w.e. 1.92"

Latest Wxsim with 6z GFS/NAM data has snow/IP to start on Thursday AM and then an off and on battle of precip types here in NW Chesco with the temp just above freezing for most of the event + plus over 2" of w.e. falling. This will no doubt change with the next run....by the way also showing a period of heavy snow next Sunday AM...