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snowfan

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Everything posted by snowfan

  1. Yep...its weather. No need to be a drama queen about it all the time.
  2. The 4-6 area near the metros is too broad but otherwise that looks good sans the mountain areas you already highlighted.
  3. W surface temps above 32 during the afternoon.....thats going to struggle to accumulate
  4. I do agree that areas right along the bay may go higher but just thinking bwi will come in slightly below. Places like naptown, chessie beach are in a good spot, locally.
  5. Likely official measurements DCA: 1.2", IAD: 2", BWI: 3.5"
  6. Hopefully the bleed E/NE ends today, but this has the feels of those storms that just keep slipping away. Latest LWX map below.
  7. Posting CWG maps is usually an auto ban here. I don’t make the rules.
  8. The accuracy here is top notch. Our 3-6” that’s going drip drip on Monday morning will be epic.
  9. Im telling yall, Grey beard is a former poster that was run off.
  10. Daytime non accumulating snow. The heartbreak meter on this one is high even if the potential high reward exists
  11. WPC Discussion: ...Central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic...Day 3...*** Nor'easter develops off Mid-Atlantic Coast late Sunday withimpacts in the Northeast through Monday ***Complex phasing is expected to result in coastal low developmentoff the Mid-Atlantic coast later Sunday with rapid intensificationas it shifts northeast Sunday night/Monday. Guidance is somewhatcoming into consensus with a surface low track east of where theGFS and west of where the EC have been. The preferred track remainswith the EC-AIFS which the 00Z run did nudge south a bit for Sundaynight. The extent of the precip shield will be critical to heavysnow banding on the NW/W side of the low. Non-uniform precip shielddepiction from guidance such as the EC is likely given the complexinteraction of mid-level and low level low centers. The Day 3 snowprobs for >6" are 40-60% for central MD through southeast PA,southern NJ and much of the Delmarva Peninsula. The rapid lowdevelopment and approach of rather strong surface high pressureto Ontario will lead to a sprawling wind field over the easternU.S. which will enhance snow impacts under heavy TROWAL bands.Please stay tuned for further details.The greater confidence is for upslope snow on the centralAppalachians in NW flow on the back side of the system Sundaynight. Great Lakes moisture encounters the topographical lift withDay 3 snow probs for >6" 40-80% above about 1500ft to the AlleghenyFront in WV and far western MD.Jackson
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