snowfan

Shots fired in the LR thread.

Saturday looks great if you like cold and wind. Very tight pressure gradient develops late Friday night through Saturday between a rapidly deepening area of low pressure over the western Atlantic and strong high pressure over the western Great Lakes. Expect a sudden onset of strong winds after 06Z Sat that moves rapidly from west to east. Model soundings indicate mixing to around 925 mb on Saturday with all guidance, except the Canadian, indicating winds of 40-45 kt in that layer. The 00Z ECMWF continues to have the strongest 925 mb winds with values up to 50 kt. Even below that layer, winds around 950 mb or 0.5 km AGL are between 40-45 kt indicating a high confidence of a solid Wind Advisory event almost everywhere, except down by Albemarle and Nelson Counties. The high elevations will definitely need a High Wind Watch. Believe there is also a decent shot that winds at lower elevations could peak around 50 kt for a short period of time Saturday morning, mainly between 09Z and 15Z where 925 mb low- level jet is passing over northern VA. Extreme Cold Watches have been issued for the Allegheny Mountains with additional Cold Weather Advisories likely needed for the northern half of the fcst area.

Wild when you think of which years are not on that list.

6-8 lolli sitting on Davis/Canaan

6Z GFS OP is NSFW even if it is wrong.

1 week until pitchers and catchers report.

GFS OP sticking with an overrunning event hitting our CAD late next Friday.

35 off a high of 41. Aside from some edges where the snow has receded, there’s still full coverage with depth. Impressed since my front yard is full southern exposure.

Its not extreme, but well below normal and WCs will be cold.

So uh let's just assume the 12Z HRRR is wrong about tomorrow afternoon.

Has anyone heard from Wes? He usually pops in once or twice each season but I don't recall popping in at all during the last storm.

Some of you would never survive a winter in Davis or anywhere that even does a half decent job of retaining snow-cover most of the winter. Really makes me question whether or not you're true snow weenies. Smh.

This is buc-ees winter wonderland, not buc-ees tropical paradise. Talk of 50 and rain in early February = auto banned.

6Z GFS. Time to reel this big fish in.

That storm would be an I-81 special

WBAL just ran a story about the challenges of snow removal and its impact on schools. A portion of the convo centered around un shoveled sidewalks in the adjacent neighborhoods and nowhere in any of the video roll did you actually see someone from the community shoveling sidewalks……because you know, that’s the school’s responsibility. End of rant. Old man yells at cloud.

Back to 31 off a high of 34.

Youre not going to find many in this sub that prefer rain right now. Its winter and this is a sick bunch.

6z euro is a beatdown.

So we have a 60% chance of an early spring based on that rodents historical success rate.

Low of 19 imby. Looks like we make a run at freezing today

Book your tee times, plant those spring bulbs, get the grill ready...

Euro is still aggressive with bringing snow into the area Friday afternoon with the push of arctic air. Many get an 1”+.