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Everything posted by snowfan
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It’s crazy how the same handful of people on this sub always control the narrative that is allowed. The follow the leader mentality is really weird.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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Shhhh…..it’s the storm after the storm after the storm.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
snowfan replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
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2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
snowfan replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
It’s a short drive to the poconos. Is it legal to take your kids out of school to chase snow? Asking for an acquaintance. -
2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
snowfan replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Lows cutting to cincy are no bueno w a shit airmass in place. -
I’m in a lighter shade of gray now. This pattern flip sucks.
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We are now actually rooting against scoring now because it will prevent us from having better looks……CLOSER TO MARCH.
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2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
snowfan replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
CMC solution makes it tempting to road-trip to downeast Maine for this one. Holy shit. -
2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
snowfan replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Congrats New England. -
2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
snowfan replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah…..but the temps. Woof. -
2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
snowfan replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Area of impact for some winter weather beginning to expand in WPCs day 6 probs. Still favoring N/W areas, but this was largely confined to the far western mountains even just yesterday. Slow progress. -
2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
snowfan replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Who likes a wet V Day? -
TLDR version: we don’t know what’s going to happen thru mid March.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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Yesterday’s temp profile was more promising. This looks like white rain unless you’re west of 81. Plenty of time to improve though.
- 2,529 replies
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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I appreciate that you ‘op run at range’ ed your own post lol. All true re: op run. That said, you would expect that the signals showing up in the ensembles will eventually translate to some consistent signs of cold/storminess in the ops. Let’s just assume this is the LR GFS doing its usual every 6 hour dance.
- 2,529 replies
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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Lord….you already have ppl canceling next winter based on historical trends when ppl can’t even get this winter right based on historical trends. Take the seasonal approach and hold off on evaluating next winter until ya know…..closer to next winter.
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We are also now targeting post-Feb 20.
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And BN precip would be consistent with CPCs outlook for both 8-14 days and 3-4 weeks out.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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Good radiational cooling night underway. Tipton airport topped out at 50 and is already down to 32.
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We are not far away from the time of year when retaining snow cover becomes a real challenge outside of the mountain west and interior New England. Doesn’t mean it can’t snow of course, but you need that early season snowfall And sustained cold to have big impact on snow cover outside the mountains.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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Looks like we have at least another 7-10 days of AOA temps. Given trees/plants are already showing signs of early growth, I’m assuming we’re going to have some issues with late season cold killing things off.
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GFS op is just a continuation of the seasons long theme….active with a number of systems to look at, but marginal to crappy temps. Even at the end of the run, there are 50s/60s in the middle of the country on the way to OBY. I get it….LR looks promising on ensembles. That doesn’t always translate, but hopefully it will this yr.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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