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snowfan

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Everything posted by snowfan

  1. Im telling yall, Grey beard is a former poster that was run off.
  2. Daytime non accumulating snow. The heartbreak meter on this one is high even if the potential high reward exists
  3. WPC Discussion: ...Central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic...Day 3...*** Nor'easter develops off Mid-Atlantic Coast late Sunday withimpacts in the Northeast through Monday ***Complex phasing is expected to result in coastal low developmentoff the Mid-Atlantic coast later Sunday with rapid intensificationas it shifts northeast Sunday night/Monday. Guidance is somewhatcoming into consensus with a surface low track east of where theGFS and west of where the EC have been. The preferred track remainswith the EC-AIFS which the 00Z run did nudge south a bit for Sundaynight. The extent of the precip shield will be critical to heavysnow banding on the NW/W side of the low. Non-uniform precip shielddepiction from guidance such as the EC is likely given the complexinteraction of mid-level and low level low centers. The Day 3 snowprobs for >6" are 40-60% for central MD through southeast PA,southern NJ and much of the Delmarva Peninsula. The rapid lowdevelopment and approach of rather strong surface high pressureto Ontario will lead to a sprawling wind field over the easternU.S. which will enhance snow impacts under heavy TROWAL bands.Please stay tuned for further details.The greater confidence is for upslope snow on the centralAppalachians in NW flow on the back side of the system Sundaynight. Great Lakes moisture encounters the topographical lift withDay 3 snow probs for >6" 40-80% above about 1500ft to the AlleghenyFront in WV and far western MD.Jackson
  4. Noticeable uptick in probability from WPC of at least minor impacts for the area.
  5. 75 people doing pbp at once.
  6. Weird shit going down in the storm thread.
  7. Will - appreciate you being our map guy. Favor....can you just post the current run and not these comparisons. Its confusing as hell at times.
  8. Poor will. This is like some old school back alley jumping after school.
  9. I took 30 seconds to look at a sounding. Shrug. Didn't take much effort.
  10. Sorry to deb but 1pm w marginal temps is going to struggle to accumulate unless its really coming down. If you're in the best banding you can achieve a pasting but it could be tough.
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