I think the only thing that might factor in, is solar. Perhaps the late Feb sun could cause it to warm a little too quickly, but unlike MOS guidance, models should only spit out temps based off of equations etc.
It's 6 days out and guidance is all over. I was just noting that for a model that loves to torch the boundary layer, it was cold. I would not read much into anything until there is agreement.
There was an event last year (12/23/17 ice event maybe?) where KBOS was colder than KLWM. It was a CAD scenario too. No way that was true. Again as you guys said, it did not pass the sniff test.
I egg it on sometimes, so I don't mean to contribute to lousy posting. He's just easy to get going. I think the other one about a G-friend was the dude in VT?
NoPoles is a female. She posts fairly frequently. Maybe Dendrite had a rough morning, but just reel it in a bit when someone talks about warmth. No need to melt, it will torch, has torched, and will torch again at some point in winter.
Yeah it's just the typical ebb and flow. However, I think some thought it was the start of months BN. Not so fast. Some are thinking December to be AN as well before the hammer drops in Jan. Nino Decembers can be mild, so I suppose that isn't exactly out of the box thinking.
If anything is was in the hinterlands of nrn orh county. Got together a little too far to the east where boundary layer was mild anyways. Potent bugger. Would have been decent a few weeks from now.