It's too bad December was so bad last year. Granted Jan and Feb weren't blockbuster months...but it would ave made for a prolonged winter around these parts. I thoroughly enjoyed that Novie snow. In fact, that was my biggest November snow that I've seen since probably 1989. I missed the ones in 2002 and 2004 by a few miles.
Based on the EPS and weeklies, I may have to lock in a snow event for New England with that look. Very impressive troughing for end of month into early Novie.
It's arched NW-SE as the whole thing moves NNE. So, technically at some point a piece of it goes west, but winds are not a big deal outside of srn and ern coast areas IMO.
The RGEM makes sense to me. You do not have those mini lows on roids, but those small ones that could enhance winds as they pinwheel up. I think that looks logical.
While there may be small meso lows, the NAM and it's offspring 3K just look overdone. Haven't seen much about rain, but along and west of the track has tremendous low level convergence. That's the setup to get 3-5" in like 2hrs.
LOL, I think all, but 2 people know that it's voodoo. My post was an intentional one. Certainly looks like snow is going to happen in the pattern going forward for the NNE mtns...and not because of climo.
Yeah the S and SE side of the low as it passes north may have another burst of strong SW winds as CAA starts. Some guidance has a very narrow, but pronounced burst of these winds. Euro and GFS seem to show this. I'd be curious to know what 925 looked like on the euro.