CoastalWx

This storm is a great reason why the whole field will be replaced by robots soon enough. It's ok to mention that the impacts might not be what was first though a couple of days ago. That message was seen on guidance yesterday, but even now...I am seeing 2-3" to the north of Boston and 3-6" just south of the city. I don't understand why we can't just convey what will happen when things begin to change. We keep continuing with this notion to continue to sensationalize everything and it does nothing but make the science and the mets look bad. In my business, we are always trying to push situational awareness out and at least convey as accurately as we can when things change. Sometimes it's a little too late, and you can't knee jerk either...but we all know when it's time to hold 'em or fold 'em.

Stay safe from the .25" it had for you.

BOX really was awful yesterday.

October? The only seasonal signal this early that may give you a clue is ENSO. That is whether we are nino or Nina. We are sort of neither right now. With most a strong signal, it’s tough to say what will happen. So certainly something like a trough near AK at this time will not spook me. It’s part of their weather in then fall. Hell in winter too.

For this time of year it’s rather anomalous, but I’m not sure the impacts outside of erosion are going to be substantial. If this were 50-70 miles NW it’s a different story.

It’s way too early for concern. AK in fall is rather stormy so it’s not uncommon. If the Death Star happens near Thanksgiving and shows no signs of stopping on ensembles or sub seasonal guidance, then maybe I’ll be a little more concerned.

Taking forever to download. Anyways those blobs are a function of sun kissed SSTs from ridging aloft. And 2015-2016 was dry in CA relatively speaking?

Well to be fair it wasn’t ever a big deal outside of SE areas. But the areas that were pedestrian are even more pedestrian. Should be a good event PYM to cape.

It backed off yesterday. Was day before.

Man what a joke the gfs is. I knew it was wild, but it just keeps going less and less. Glad we sold.

Should be a nice milder look going forward for a little while.

Euro. NAM already cutting way back. This is not a big deal in most areas.

AN

Thank god we warm up again.

Rainy windy and awful out. Feels like NNE.

Zzzzzzz

This will be a battle Boston north... even my hood. Rt 44 to cape special. They’ll be rain near and north of Boston, but they’ll be lulls I think.

I don’t expect much up that way.

Jack will be cape into Diane land. Secondary srn CT.

Dry air just eating it up over ern areas. Gonna be awhile for anything meaningful.

That discussion is a little much. 'Expect the unexpected.." Come on man. Lets not get crazy here.

You'll probably see this blossom a bit N and E with time, while the SW CT stuff sort of weakens in the aftn.

Yep. That's how I feel. Probably meh near BOS.

Mid level fronto. No surprises like storm coming way NW etc.

Water vapor is telling. You can see how the incoming s/w from NJ is helping getting the lift going over srn CT into RI. North of that, it will take more until tonight before the low well SE gets captured and the moisture train starts moving W to WNW.