CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Reggie looks pretty good.
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12z RPM way east now. Basically not much NW of BDL-ORH-LWM FWIW. My guess is GFS may tick east too, or at least lessen frozen QPF anyways. These things are a PITA.
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Go figure, 12z NAM with the baroclinic zone closer to coast, but QPF further east. It does show strong 700 fronto over SNE.
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Sometimes it has wins this far out, but I think it might be an outlier. It's viable.
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Aside from the light snow Wed, we are toast for about 8 days or so. Next up that means anything is Tuesday next week.
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Well who is that directed too? Plains? Northeast? Mid Atlantic? It never looked like a December to remember pattern, but sometimes you can still get good snowstorms like early last week showed. Usually people word these calls in a fashion to claim victory no matter what.
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I'll stick with 1-3 for now. Maybe spot 4 if lucky.
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They were in the low 20s all night which seemed odd compared to everyone else. I didn't see anyone below 32 early this morning. I did see near 32.
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It’s going to be a battle. Some guidance has that bulge or baroclinic leaf look which is a good sign. But it will be fighting dry air advecting in.
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RPM is still rather snowy.
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Down from 4-8?
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I'm not saying it could come in stronger at 12z, but right now I don't see a lot of reasons to be aggressive. The only thing I could see is a narrow area get into a good band of snow for a few hours with not a while lot on either side of that.
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Because it is.
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We are close to getting some events to work out. I've certainly seen worse. Might be a NNE deal.
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NAm and GFS BUFKIT do have good lift in the DGZ so there is that. But it's also fighting dry air near 850. Tough call.
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It's looked like poop to me for awhile. Close to closing the shades...close.
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Euro says shift all that east.
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The euro op was quite the wet runs. Heavy heavy rhea.
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Not sure what to make of things going forward. It's an ugly Pacific on the EPS, but like I said yesterday...we sort of walk the line between just rainer after rainer, or enough cold for snow.
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IJD looked to have temp issues earlier. They were like coldest in New England.
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Someone in a narrow area may get more, but I wouldn't get cute with that detail.
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1-3 maybe 2-4. I don't think it's an interior vs coast thing. Sort of even all around.
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Good call I think at this time.
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There will be a narrow ribbon of good fronto. Whether that is progressive or hangs around for 6+ hours remains to be seen.
