EPS looked like a decent CCB in ern areas too. Almost a bit of a dumbelling look with either a meso low, or one of those potent low level warm fronts pushing onto the Cape, separating due east winds from north winds near the coast.
Can't disagree with ya, John. In any case...not to derail..but NAM is quiet feisty with this low coming up. I do wonder if we can get a decent glaze going interior and higher el. Kevin will want me to extend that to TOL, but not sure the wetbulbing is enough for more than a touch of glaze?
The high res models almost have a semi-tropical look with low pressure embedded in a massively broad area of low pressure, going near and east of the Cape.
Honestly, this is true.....and I am part of it too. It's so easy to post on the fly and have vapid comment. Like Erin Andrews on the side line. I certainly try to make my posts during this time of year, more valuable when appropriate.
May need to watch to see if it lasts longer. While temps may not be arctic cold, I do wonder if we can keep it wetbulbing a bit longer near 31F with nrly drain.
I think you to Ray may have a chance of light icing at first, but probably warm up a bit later Sunday night. Ahead of the coastal front tomorrow aftn and evening, I could see a little glaze.
Yeah maybe. I wouldn't say it's high confidence at all. Could easily be OTS or just a weak system crossing overhead. Something to watch, but would keep expectations low.
I would love to have real time data for that event. Nobody has a real answer for that. Coastal front enhancement, s/w help, instability aloft etc. everything helped, but we’ll probably never have a true look back.
Yeah I remember you saying that, but until you brought that up, I had no idea. I just remembered the pics from like Acton of trees down from the wet snow. Been a while since one of those true ORH specials.