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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Looks like it ends as bands of light snow. Hey this far out anything is possible.
  2. It's possible, but I thought the mess near Maine moved out of the way, and the H5 look was more classic, not a mess like 6z was.
  3. Yeah this run a bit more of a classic cyclogenesis look south of LI.
  4. GFS a bit more consolidated at H5 at hr 138, I like that better vs 6z anyways.
  5. Looks like we relax a bit with a mild up after the 7th or so. And then hopefully the EPS is right with a nice west coast ridge to end the 11-15 day.
  6. Ukie and Euro look similar through hr 144. Ukie only goes to hr 144.
  7. I see the same in downtown Boston where the temps are like two cooler there usually. Both have more reddish anomalies.
  8. Once in a while Steve goes off the rails. Maybe he tracked doggie doo in the house again.
  9. Well we both have science behind it right? You are probably thinking the confluence to the northeast is real and it certainly could be a gfs type solution. I’m thinking this will be a little closer to the region ala EPS. Antecedent airmass isn’t completely ideal for coast (although doable on gfs) and given the origins of these things, just think it’s more for NNE. But it’s all fun and games this far out. It would be silly to lock something in. I sense a little bit of snake bitten Scott coming out when he sees the gfs solution. The bottle of Scotch opened, feverishly rocking back and forth.
  10. My gut is congrats PF. Maybe I need to break that out. In all honesty, seems like interior mixed event. No need for details this far out, but to me, gfs is an outlier.
  11. Because it likely won’t happen.
  12. Well the big takeaway is they haven’t gotten worse. A couple of runs were pretty bad, but have since improved. December to me doesn’t look like a classic, but I don’t see 2011 either. I think we’ll have chances and it starts Sunday. That’s all you can ask.
  13. i just see a snapshot of 3pm temps in the summer?
  14. Probably more transient stuff, but there is no blocking imo.
  15. -NAO vaporized. LOL poler vortex weenies.
  16. I'm not saying it won't snow, but I see those algorithms and then look at the thermal profiles.....I ask myself how is that possible.
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