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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. I’m completely fine with that. No black hole near Alaska. Weenies need to repeat that. No black hole near Alaska.
  2. Euro is coming out earlier and earlier which is also not helping the FU3.
  3. I try...I really try to give it some credit. But as you pointed out, you run the risk of actually making your forecast worse when incorporating it. And this is not good for the weather community. If the FV3 is making itself irrelevant and the ECMWF is the one to use...well then replace the mets with the Euro.
  4. It sliced critical QPF for round two tomorrow by 0.4" in 12 hrs. More than half. Sorry Louis, the model is a joke.
  5. I mean look at KORD for round two of snow. The 18z GFS was a paste bomb. 06z GFS says some light snow to end. POS.
  6. 3F in DEN so looks like record broken. Impressive for this day and age.
  7. Yeah that's a man airmass over them. Getting a lot of coverage on TWC too.
  8. Yeah th That's what I was seeing on the EPS.
  9. Feels like a weenie to say this, but it's not out of the question first flakes at least for some if the EPS is right near the 11/9-11/11 period. At some point when the cold settles in for a few days...we may either get a disturbance rotating through, or WAA as we come out, causes something perhaps frozen. Both scenarios aren't exactly hard to imagine.
  10. That what I figured. Some sort of industry connection.
  11. Because they should put the town in a giant plastic bag and tow it out into the Atlantic.
  12. Well learn something knew every day. Never heard that before.
  13. That’s real man cold right there. But it’s just east of the divide. You go towards places like Grand Junction and it’s in the 40s.
  14. I actually think it's more synoptic vs fine-line. I mean fine line of convection may do it, but I think we overrate that. I've had many of these areas of intense rains move through and the wind isn't any higher than what I've seen in the hours prior to it. Anyways, it's probably the standard 50-60 in max gusts for now with advisories or low end warnings. There is time either way to take 'em up or down.
  15. 925mb. That's the best proxy with these events. But we are talking a magnitude of only 5-10kt difference from west to east really. I don't agree with Cape having the winds as many times near ocean areas are inverted with these setups as warm air aloft floods in.
  16. Strongest LLJ is east, euro wind maps suck as we all know. However, the strong LLJ is widespread.
  17. Some of these look like meh events. Stick to the top 5.
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