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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Looks like a -EPO/+PNA look through week 4 albeit the signal does weaken. Looks like we flirt with some weak ridging off the East Coast with the central US remaining rather chilly. Week 5 and 6 do turn a little hostile...but we know the caveats of the weeklies.
  2. 6z Euro is flatter again. Puts the area near the MA/NH/VT border more into play.
  3. I have trouble buying that. The RPM is rather unstable beyond 48 hrs out.
  4. Whether it's the 12z or 00z runs....the GFS is 4th....freaking 4th place in accuracy for H5 heights at day 5. The Canadian is ahead of it. What a disgrace. https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/STATS_vsdb/12Z/
  5. Higher than normal chance, and I'm not just saying a trace. Obviously need to be careful with my words because someone will twist it, but I think you know what I mean.
  6. If he sees flakes on Friday morning, he'll be giddy as a school boy. But man, look at the next couple of weeks. How can anyone complain in November. I'll be careful with my words here, but it seems like a much higher than norrmal chance of areas getting their first measurable before Thanksgiving.
  7. I’ll sell the RPM. As much as it would be nice. Surprised because that’s the one model that I’d expect to have Mai Tai’s and Bengal Tigers with a low going into CYUL.
  8. Jesus you think this would be January the way some of you are about to jump off a bridge. There’s a few more threats in the pipeline and it’s only November. Many winters just don’t even have this at all.
  9. The whole congrats PF is a joke anyways. It’s mostly to troll Kevin.
  10. Man a few threats from now until day 15 or so. Looks fairly active even if none of them are large threats.
  11. Well the whole mess itself. That was when the gfs had nothing and way out to sea. I think we all said anything was on the table, but also It could come north. Frankly I’m a little surprised the euro flopped like that and its ensembles. But day 4ish give or take....that can happen. Doesn’t change much of what I expected here, but matters for the interior. Who knows, maybe more changes today.
  12. The 18z EPS is rather nice for interior areas from NW CT to about LWM and points north.
  13. Well central MA south of pike could see some snow. I’m perfectly content with whatever happens. Some years we can’t even get these events in January lol. It’s just nice to entertain the idea.
  14. That was a gfs like move. Go wild and then Pedestrian overrunning 6 hours later.
  15. Is that the same model? I have no idea. I remember it did a great job with the pre Christmas ice event here in 2017, and the Christmas miracle storm here that year.
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