CoastalWx

We deep ass.

It’s going to be cold next weekend. despite the timing issues, always need to watch systems coming out of the south.

Eps a little flat at 18z. I think it also shows you that’s it’s a bit of a needle threader too. Not a surprise in the early season. Regardless, still early either way.

Rain to snow. Many areas 2-5”.

Oh boy oh boy oh boy oh boy.

Feels like the GFS just doesn't know what to do with the srn energy. The mean does appear to try and give us some precip from the srn impulse.

GFS is a fropa, and GGEM a little amped for the 8th.

EPS almost looks anafrontal...which may actually help early in the season and limit WAA.

Or is it OW?

We bitch.

First 30s of the year at Logan.

Happy Birthday to the Mother of all Winter reverends. Yessah!! Hallelujah. Enjoy the day, Kev.

PNA may try to spike on the EPS, so we may not have much of a warm up through mid month. The weeklies did try to modify and mild up later in the month.

It's something to watch at least. Canadian sort of has a flat wave developing SE of us too.

It always does.

I don’t look at it.

35. Coldest yet as I head out.

Wagons north?

CraY stuff. Glad you are all ok.

That's crazy what 4" can do, but yeah..already wet ground in high terrain falling in a matter of a few hours.

Here is what I think happened. Two day earlier it did look wet, especially nrn MA and western MA. However, and I know some discussed it here....many times these warm sectors get a little more cleaner as you approach T=0. There was nothing to really force rain well ahead of the front except maybe in the higher terrain. Going into the 30th it appeared to really dry out even in those areas. So, the pattern recognition of things trending a little drier was already occurring. I think a few rip 'n readers still kept pimping out rain shown on some guidance. And then the winds came into play...although that was supposed to be worst to the south and at night anyways. So they postponed on all that information, but I don't think the whole thing was communicated well to the decision makers.

45kts is good up that way. Take 'em down. Trees that is.

I feel like it's been the same look since 2014.

Looks like 54mph damage.