While there may be small meso lows, the NAM and it's offspring 3K just look overdone. Haven't seen much about rain, but along and west of the track has tremendous low level convergence. That's the setup to get 3-5" in like 2hrs.
LOL, I think all, but 2 people know that it's voodoo. My post was an intentional one. Certainly looks like snow is going to happen in the pattern going forward for the NNE mtns...and not because of climo.
Yeah the S and SE side of the low as it passes north may have another burst of strong SW winds as CAA starts. Some guidance has a very narrow, but pronounced burst of these winds. Euro and GFS seem to show this. I'd be curious to know what 925 looked like on the euro.
End of the month definitely getting a little amped with what appears to be a strong trough signal in the east. I'm about to lock in October snow and a dud winter.
Although like Chris said, very dynamic system. I suppose a micro low or two may pop, but that is a nowcast deal i think. The interior won't see much wind at all. Looks wedgy there too.