CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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They did look decent.
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Week 5 and 6 are downright voodoo. I looked at H5 through week 4. Week 3 had a -EPO, weak East -NAO and a weak SE ridge. Week 4 has a massive cold pocket in Canada. However, we all know how bad even week 3 and 4 can be.
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Maybe age getting to Steve?
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Jeez I thought the weeklies were decent?
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Certainly was not one last year. Doesn't really look to start out that way either.
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And then Mowvember.
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Should I take cover?
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That 11-15 day probably would be fun, 2 months from now.
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Will be AN next week and possibly Halloween. Just going by EPS. Doesn't look super torchy though.
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Globals ftw.
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NAM had like .25” into Boston. Global ftw.
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I’m not saying to toss it. I’m curious if other higher spots nearby have similar departures.
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ORH -0.5, PVD, 0.5, BDL 1.3, BOS 1.8. Haven’t looked at any COOPs but ORH and BOS stand out. We know BOS issues, but anything supporting ORH?
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Looks like a -EPO and east based- NAO after day 10 on the EPS. A bit of a SE ridge too just for Tip’s gradient flow.
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37 for the low here.
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I don't think that bias exists as much, but anecdotally it does seem to happen from time to time.
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I mean 50mph winds against foliated trees will take them down for sure. In addition to what Tip said, we seemed to have a downslope event in these areas. The lower elevations on the west side of ORH hiils into the CT valley all had some decent damage. Unlike winter events that have strong LLJs as well, we didn't have a cold airmass to work with. The cold air allows for the stable wedge to form and therefore prevents mixing.
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I buy. We -PNA. Maybe -NAO gives us ridging to the north?
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It’s close.
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38. here. Gonna have to wait until Novie to get below 32.
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This looks to be a classic -PNA pattern where models are too quick to bring in the cooler air. Could be pretty warm towards end of month.
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Kevin has caused a lot of speculation lately with those innuendos.
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Already in mid season form, Brett.
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Birthday flakes for Kev on the GFS.
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You see it even in ensembles too. If I see a ridge in the east during the summer with a Sonoran connection, I'm going to take those temps up.
