CoastalWx

It may be just banded in nature. It’s an occluding storm which usually means banded nature. On the other hand sometimes you get a healthy precip shield if things come together just right

That’s a fairly minimal flip to rain here on the gfs. Back to snow Mon aftn. Looks good Monday night.

Not sure I buy that qpf thump but that’s darn healthy.

I think it will be tough to get much past 32 where you are. May need to crown it up Sunday night and then Monday night for second rejoice lol.

I think your good for at least 2-4” first part.

Part 1 meh? I think it will do pretty well as long as you don’t expect 10”. I’m not sure pike south does as well as you think given mid level issues.

I think it may be GOAK trough and maybe split flow. Kind of tough for many, but interior and NNE could always manage. It does have a cutter look at times. I’m just hoping it changes later in month because I’m all set with lousy December’s. Although it starts off well.

Might be a little, but temp diff on either side isn’t that great. It’s going to be a mess here Monday. -RA and like 36 degrees lol. Flips later at least.

Round 2 looking nice.

You’ll be in a sweet spot.

I think ahead of it in the WAA stuff may be closer to 10:1. Not wet, but not sure it’s fluff. Maybe heavier stuff is fluffier as lift punches into DGZ? The second round may have the chance of higher ratios. This is up by you of course.

You guys to MHT and ALB look pretty good. You may hang on to steadier precip Monday.

DGZ gets slotted a bit so keep that in mind.

ASH is in a good spot.

I thought The EPS wasn't the best looking last night. It's not a torch, but the Pacific seems to want to flop around and we'll probably be prone to mild spells.

Worry a little taint near you, but certainly possible.

Smoke job SW NH to Albany.

euro and gfs aren't that different imo.

I think that is widespread. Might be more focused a bit near and north of the pike. Right now areas just west of BOS along 90 up to about KMHT look to be in a good area IMO. The euro actually focuses Monday night banding up in NH which makes sense give the H7 low track. Almost looked like boxing day with a second area focused closer to the low center. With ligher snows in between.

It could be sweet Monday night. I think east of the river slots a little Monday with lighter crap falling. Precip shield should broaden later Monday and Monday night. 6z tucked the low closer to Chatham it looked to near stall at the end of its run. Any areas near BOS and south the flipped to rain should go back to snow then.

It’s not really a fire hose. I don’t see much banding either with the first part. It’s more of a WAA thump. After that’s over it goes to some lighter precip. That could be rain, sleet/freezing rain, or lighter snows depending on where you are. Then later Monday and Monday night and mix goes to snow. That’s when there may be some banded nature to the snow as the mid level lows track favorably. I’m wondering if Monday night is one of those deals where QPF is undermodeled. That’s a good erly flow with favorable mid levels.

Gfs is pretty sweet near and just inland from the coast. A little colder from 18z.

I knew someone would get that.

I’d be happy with 2-4. Lol. At least the winds of Thor are blowing cold right now.

Starting to think that this may be almost two parts with a break in between. It may just be very light precip in this “break” but I buy it.