CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Feels like this is south of 00z. Maybe it curls north with this s/w.
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Doesn't always work unless you use a bias corrected Ginx method. He posts equal amounts about bread and butter moose farts over Jay Peak.
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Just keep an eye on the ensembles. I feel like we are getting a little out of our accuracy comfort zone talking about ptypes, N-S etc. At least with any confidence.
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V16 is like a thump and then ocnl light stuff hanging around.
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Yeah those scenarios with a weaker low sort of moving overhead or west and sometimes winds stay nrly longer with the natural refrigeration. Maybe a weak meso low on the CF. Hopefully that deal on the 6th can become more of a SWFE.
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I feel like we hear that a lot, but the synoptics usually don't care about that in SNE. If it's a weak low sometimes the cold snowpack can hold back the warming in the interior, but if you are getting a modest storm moving into the Great Lakes and intensifying, snow won't do anything.
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6th or 7th has warm potential. That's the EPO dump so IMO that is likely. Maybe we can turn it into a SWFE?
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I agree.
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Greenland ridge, yes. I'd probably want it closer to the Davis Straits with that look, but I certainly won't scoff at it.
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I just mean the SE ridge comes in with that look of a -EPO. So we need some blocking or it's Bengal Tigers and Mai Tais. I do think it is active, so potential is there for some fun.
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We ride the line I think with a Greenland ridge and -EPO. Beware.
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Yeah there isn’t really a reason to diagnose banding or dynamics. That will change on the op runs. The ensembles have a nice signal and that’s all you can ask for.
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18z tossed.
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Not a lot of QPF either, but whatever this far out.
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This might be good.
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Nice Scooter HP north of Maine.
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Classic look at H5 in the Midwest at hr 168. We'll see what the lobe over us does. It starts to move out.
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GFS has been doing that, but I don't really care this far out.
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Does homefield matter with COVID? Maybe it does as the players don't have to travel?
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I’m pretty sure IZG to LEW is the center of screwjie this year.
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Nice signal on the eps for the 1-2 of Feb.
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The main threads can be a clown show sometimes, but it’s good entertainment. I know you never met most of us before, but it’s a good group of people in the New England forum, even though Phin hated us and pushed for subforums.
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Weenie eyes.
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What a shame that low misses off VA. Blah.
