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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Poor Kev. He went on a tirade yesterday about this storm. Lots of hurt people left in his wake.
  2. Well, it was four days out, and we never had off our runs before with the euro.
  3. Getting back to your comment about cirrus to BL issues, it’s speaking more to the airmass ahead of it regardless of track. That’s all I meant.
  4. The airmass is real borderline in ern areas. So its not just QPF that’s an issue. Will need a good CCB.
  5. That nrn stream is clearly making some western members there.
  6. I suppose it could? There is some time left but the flow remains progressive.
  7. That nrn stream on euro continues to look dam potent.
  8. A torch. Lock that in. Only thing that can go right.
  9. Nope I said whatever happens this weekend, it looks like we will moderate, before the pattern reshuffles.
  10. No go back and read. Will and I discuss that.
  11. Well the EPS, actually looks pretty good and better compared to 6Z that’s for sure.
  12. Looks like it could get really mild next week in the op before the reshuffle happens. Expected though.
  13. Yeah the bleeding to the east stopped here at least. Much better nrn stream look.
  14. Size-able change with the nrn stream.
  15. Ukie is almost an inv trough look. Not a big CCB with conveyor belts...more like a narrow area of forcing. Still a lot of time left. Normally you'd expect a NW push from a multitude of things like latent heat release and data sampling perhaps making the parent s/w modeled stronger...but the flow is progressive. That may limit those examples.
  16. Well that's an ass suck solution. Lets see what else can suck ass.
  17. Bomb cyclone was pretty fast too. Back in Jan 18. Not saying those are comparable, but we've had plenty of quick blitzes.
  18. It's definitely going to be progressive no matter what.
  19. Meanwhile, a most tempest beast is on the 6z GFS for the following weekend. JFC.
  20. Never locked anything in. It was more for those posts from many thinking whiff yesterday.
  21. I said it had potential. Still feel that way. Tough to rule anything out.
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