CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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It is nice out. Sunny and 41.
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I'd rather have your longitude for sure.
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Euro has 850 temps near or just above 0C for you. Beware the clown maps.
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Yeah it may come eventually once the -EPO sets in. But I don't see that quite yet...as far as big long lasting stuff. Maybe some shots of it. He's acting like it was supposed to be very cold at the end of the month, but the guidance wasn't suggesting that here quite yet. It does look closer to normal and below normal and getting maybe progressively colder.
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I don't think anyone said bitter cold though. I don't see that quite yet.
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I felt like it was over and done in like 3 hrs. I will say the uber height of it was good.
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Meh on superstorm 93. Dec 05 was better.
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And you wonder why I can melt. Weenies are frustrating.
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Yep.
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LOL, I was about to say that. I don't get it. The was the best op run in days.
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I think Will mentioned it yesterday, but 1/18 one to watch as stated earlier.
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Loop this. It's the Canadian, but see how the s/w at hr 204 in the Gulf goes poof. In this case the PV in Canada and lack of a decent ridge out west (for now on this model) just can't allow for things to buckle and take off. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=atl&pkg=z500_vort&runtime=2021011212&fh=120
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I don't know if that helps to understand, Ray.
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Sometimes it is hard to quantify. Things aren't linear. IOW, maybe one slight thing is off and the whole thing just can't get together in time, or blows up way offshore. You just remove that one feature making it hard on s/w's to amplify and boom..it would come up the coast. It's almost the opposite of 2015. We had everything perfectly in place to go well for us. Move something or change a feature ever so slightly and our snowfall could have been cut in half.
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Also, no baroclinicity. That is the fuel. No real fuel, no s/w energy.
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I think more in my post above. Just need the flow to buckle, and we have not had that. The flow in Canada has remained progressive in a way and the height field cannot buckle.
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We have not had a lot of meridional flow. You'll have something briefly favorable, and then a ridge buckles and breaks off into the west and you're left with a weak + tilted trough from NM to WV. That should change.
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We have had a lot of Pacific flow. Fast flow that doesn't really allow any S/W to amp up and buckle. I thought the 18th took a step in a good direction.
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GFS trying for 1/18-1/19?
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Rain/Snow line.
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Oh right. Ha. That ice and then the Christmas morning blitz that year.
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It can be hit or miss here. Honestly if he could, up in far NE Essex country is sneaky good for snow and severe. I personally think Newburyport is an awesome town. It is pricey, but it has a cool vibe and for being near the water...their latitude does help keep any CF very close to the beaches or even just offshore. I think my wife and I would have lived there if it wasn't for our roots closer to the S Shore.
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That was a sneaky screw job from about Duxbury to SE RI. My parents live in Marshfield near the Pembroke/Norwell line. They near 2' OTG at one point with barely any in downtown Plymouth. That's incredible.
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Nothing came close to that after. Sure I have my share of disappointments, but nothing like that. I will say, Feb '06 comes close. That made me hate the dryslot. I saw NYC getting crushed with 28" and was like WTF!! I had no idea, that was supposed to be here. Since then, that made me always seek out the slot.
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To this day I get triggered posting about it.
