CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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NAM is a disaster.
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I thought the nrn stream looked better on the 6z EPS. Hopefully 12z can bring some answers.
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Give it through 12z today, but I also would not fool yourself either.
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From one person.
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Poor Kev. He went on a tirade yesterday about this storm. Lots of hurt people left in his wake.
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Well, it was four days out, and we never had off our runs before with the euro.
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Getting back to your comment about cirrus to BL issues, it’s speaking more to the airmass ahead of it regardless of track. That’s all I meant.
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The airmass is real borderline in ern areas. So its not just QPF that’s an issue. Will need a good CCB.
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That nrn stream is clearly making some western members there.
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I suppose it could? There is some time left but the flow remains progressive.
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That nrn stream on euro continues to look dam potent.
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A torch. Lock that in. Only thing that can go right.
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Nope I said whatever happens this weekend, it looks like we will moderate, before the pattern reshuffles.
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No it wasn’t that wet at all.
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No go back and read. Will and I discuss that.
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Well the EPS, actually looks pretty good and better compared to 6Z that’s for sure.
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Looks like it could get really mild next week in the op before the reshuffle happens. Expected though.
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Yeah the bleeding to the east stopped here at least. Much better nrn stream look.
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Size-able change with the nrn stream.
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Ukie is almost an inv trough look. Not a big CCB with conveyor belts...more like a narrow area of forcing. Still a lot of time left. Normally you'd expect a NW push from a multitude of things like latent heat release and data sampling perhaps making the parent s/w modeled stronger...but the flow is progressive. That may limit those examples.
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Where are the tissues
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Well that's an ass suck solution. Lets see what else can suck ass.
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Good bye and good luck on the GFS.
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Bomb cyclone was pretty fast too. Back in Jan 18. Not saying those are comparable, but we've had plenty of quick blitzes.
