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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. I think initially this isn’t a progressive look as the trough digs. You have a Hudson Bay trough and a rather deep latitudinal trough extending from it. So that will try to promote a more amped solution. However the ridge starts to buckle out west and multiple s/w troughs enter the picture to help keep this a massive stem winder. I still feel more could go wrong vs right in this setup, but the real lack of phasing helps.
  2. It’s back to being positively tilted as Will showed in the images. Don’t have an intensity fetish here for this one. You want weaker and more strung out for a colder solution. Something stronger will guarantee flooding the region with warmth. I’m sure we’ll see solutions varying around here. Naturally you favor more interior and NNE, but many areas may start as snow.
  3. Maybe setting up to change to snow at end.
  4. Guidance all over these waves. Canadian goes over to big snow north of pike with the last wave.
  5. Yeah I didn’t dig into it deep on my phone, just a quick glance and I was like holy crap LOL. Impressive verbatim.
  6. PF stands for Powder Feet on this run. Jesus. And a grid collapser for SNH.
  7. I feel like you may have CTE from sleet pounding your head in 07 and 08.
  8. 5 years ago. Storm 2 of that year and a SB win. We nostalgic.
  9. Kevin wants exact details so he can tell the Tolland soccer moms what to expect. When it doesn’t happen and they call him out, he takes it out on this board.
  10. The 6z eps looked ok even for you to start.
  11. There wasn’t a huge change I guess though. A little digging here and there. The antecedent airmass has been getting better, but the guidance went a little sharper with that s/w. It would not take much for a half decent SWFE inland. Afterwards, we finally see some colder air move in.
  12. It wasn’t like 2008, but I remember even my grandmother in Hyde Park lost a limb in that. Pretty sure some trees down and outages inland, but nothing like 2008.
  13. You’re better off being more pessimistic with this setup, but when guidance started looking half decent yesterday, peeps got sucked in.
  14. Definitely more wintry to start. Trough way more positively tilted.
  15. Euro a little flatter for second wave? First wave is just some light precip.
  16. At hr 144. Second wave. Anyways, just stating what it had. Obviously lots of model differences which is to be expected. GEFS are sort of a compromise with a SWFE look.
  17. Ukie was about to invade SNE with parakeets. Wonder if the GFS went wild.
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