CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Yeah similar spots to 2008 there too.
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In a flip to snow at the end too. Could be quite nasty as it ends in most areas.
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Yeah looks like it. That looks like a disaster for southern New Hampshire and interior northern mass.
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I feel like most guidance is 1-3 there. GFS and NAM the weakest. Chance it could be more if we had a bigger thump.
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I saw cold push, but not sure what you meant. I was looking more beyond the surface.
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And it's weird because the 3K NAM is juicy with that. It has nice WAA on the 12K NAM, but as you said...not too much precip with it.
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It still could correct a tad, and I'm not holding out much hope here, but it would be nice if more of the board other than the picnic tables in nr VT to Moose dropping, Maine...could get in on some action.
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And juicy with the front end. GFS is really meager with that.
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I didn't see this mentioned, apologies if someone did, but the piece of the TPV (tropospheric polar vortex) is definitely pressing more into the area north of the Great Lakes. It appears that is helping to ever so flatten the flow a bit and force the second wave a tad SE.
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12z GEM colder too compared to 00z.
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Cooler than 0Z down here, but still looks out to lunch with that depiction.
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Subtle s/w distinctions like shape and phasing mean a ton. But I wonder if that cold press formed by weak meso lows are getting into guidance and “adjusting” some low placements further south. Still can change, however.
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That’s a nice s/w tightening up. Actually almost two of them, for Friday. I kind of like seeing that. It’s not doing it further west on the nam, which is good.
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Nam looks interesting
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no offense of course.
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Never made an outlook. Too much voodoo.
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Like Kevin's Jan 20 return to winter.
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I like how the GFS has upper 30s to near 40 practically to Sunday River on Friday.
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We sand bag.
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You almost wonder if we can tighten up the s/w for Friday and get the low to develop quicker, it may end on a snowier note.
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6z Euro with a distinct meso low and flip to snow at the end, even near the coast. I think verbatim that would be a tucky look for at least NE MA.
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It still could be warm for all of us. We’ll know more today hopefully. The thing with Friday is that even if we aren’t getting warm, the cold air may be sort of stale with the true cold below 32, further north near NH border. That will depend on whether or not we can get a good north wind going with any meso low passage.
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Yeah. It’s already a tricky setup when you have a western trough. Sometimes it’s oriented such that you cash in with SWFE, and sometimes it’s more of a deep trough that ejects enough s/w energy for cutters.
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Kevin I think we all mentioned that the setup was tenuous. I even said yesterday that I wasn’t sure if it would be progressive given the overall H5 look. It still could be more progressive, I don’t know......but right now I’m not sure I would favor it.
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I would enjoy a 96 style cutter. It’s been boring AF.
