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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. I mean I don't see the HC monster here. And the ridging in the PAC with that trough in SW Canada likely would be more active 8/10 times here, Axis of anomalous snow was NJ to MD.
  2. December storm was wasn't all that progressive. And also March 2018 had like 4 beasts that month. That's not true at all. You've got to look at the ENSO state too. I see a lot of recent confirmation bias here.
  3. Couple of rain chances, and watch the NE winds.
  4. I posted that song 3 weeks ago in jest, but who would have known.
  5. We had cold south and a wavy pattern all January and part of Feb. Definitely not the Hadley Cell monster with a massive EC ridge. Hell suburbs of DC have well AN snow.
  6. Some outlets had 2-5. I had up to 1" at BOS and even that was a fail.
  7. So March looks to be a dud. Winter kind of sucked again. Feb was good. December was fun for 5 days with one other day on 10/30. Lucky to pull near avg snow.
  8. The key is to watch what happens in Ohio and PA, and also in the Delmarva. The models are evaporating the stuff in Ohio and PA, despite decent UL forcing. The stuff in the Delmarva comes in a little too late for many. If the stuff in Ohio and PA remains stronger, or the Delmarva activity is more robust, then maybe some more areas stand a chance of 1-3 stuff.
  9. Moisture wasn't really shunted south. It moved east quicker and just dissipated. Not necessarily shunted.
  10. Yeah exactly. Kind of a bummer...I didn't think the moisture issue would be a factor in terms of how quick it leaves. Changed overnight.
  11. Moisture lifts out quick. Seems like convection may be causing some issues.
  12. Yeah. They can post all the confused emojis they want, but this week was also identified 10+ days out. If the moisture moves out quickly, that's just an unfortunate circumstance.
  13. Need to watch a band of lift that some guidance tries to shoot up after 6z. RPM tries this south of BOS into RI, but other guidance is north. Convection will play havoc with guidance so probably going to be more of a nowcast deal.
  14. Just like this week, might be another window at the tail end of the month as we get a trough in the east and some cold in Canada. Clearly it gets more difficult at that time, but that's on guidance.
  15. Yeah definitely a quicker exit and not necessarily a shunt south.
  16. Ha big difference though with 3K and 12K. Anyways just goes to snow you how tricky it is.
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