Mr. Windcredible!

I sure hope so but I’m getting screwed by subsidence at the moment. And I feel like the bands to both the east and west of here are showing signs of slowly weakening. Winds have picked up quite a bit the past hour or so though. Starting to doubt we’ll make it to 12” here. Sitting at about 8”.

No ground verification here, despite supposedly being in one of those bands. But radar suggests we may see some improvement soon. I’ll believe the 2-3”/hr rates when I see it though.

Can’t believe Upton upped amounts with their morning update. Their forecast yesterday afternoon was actually pretty reasonable. They bumped me from 10-14 to 12-18. Just barely likely to hit 12” and that 12-18 zone extends quite a bit west of here where it doesn’t stand a chance of verifying.

Down to 16.7f here and falling. Snow growth shit at the moment though. Probably 7-8”.

Congrats! Everyone knows what a snow hole SE cT can be…nice to see you guys cash in!

I’m off to your SW so in the same general position relative to that band. Was really hoping it pushed just a bit more W, but looks to be pretty much stationary at this point. We’ll see what the next couple hours bring.

19.9f and about 6” here. Moderate snow. I don’t even know how you measure anything but final depth in these conditions. Winds aren’t crazy…but it’s so powdery it doesn’t take more than a sneeze to move it around. Did my best to clear a few spots…we’ll see.

It’s really going to come down to the placement of the deformation band tomorrow morning, offshore convection, and how quickly the primary low(s) pull away for anyone looking for bigger totals. Not convinced the placement of the lighter snows overnight have much bearing on that. Just my 2 cents.

Pretty much been just pixie dust here the past 2.5 hrs. Maybe 1/4” down. Snow growth seems to be improving a bit in the past 10-15 minutes but still just light snow. 28.6f

29.5…first flakes starting to fall

some weenie flakes here now too

already out of date. OKX has them issued for LI/SE CT, so they should be at zero now too

I think we're all in agreement that naming winter storms is a stupid practice...but I can't help but notice Ch3 in CT has gone with the name 'Bobby'. I can't think of a more underwhelming name for a storm of this magnitude. Cringeworthy.

still looking light some flurries or very light snow will develop across CT the next couple of hours...pretty well modeled the last day or so. nothing crazy, but some mood flakes to help whet our appetites for tonight/tomorrow.

I said it after 18z…Reggie has been surprisingly consistent with the placement of the deformation the past 4 runs or so…while other models were still bouncing around quite a bit.

Outer Banks N of Kitty Hawk got a solid 3-6” just last week. I can’t imagine they see decent snows like that more than once a decade. To have a chance at it twice in the span of about a week must be unheard of. What a winter for them if it verifies!

RGEM has been surprisingly consistent the past few runs with the placement of the deform goodies. Moreso than any other model at this point.

I grew up in Pittsburgh. I was in 8th grade in March of 1993...and also on vacation in Florida for the Superstorm. As a huge snow weenie it was a crushing disappointment missing out on it. The squall line/winds in Florida with that one really did nothing for me, and having no internet access and limited channel selection in a cheap motel there was really no way to track it either. Thankfully, we got nailed with the 94 storm which helped make up for missing 93. And of course 94 was a January storm so the snow stuck around and kept us out of school for a week. Good memories of that one.

Close to an inch here. Not normally the type of event that works out for us along the shoreline, so I’ll take it!

Nothing like tracking an event for multiple days to end up with a quarter of an inch Never was expecting much...but figured we'd at least manage an inch or two.

It is lame. But I think those of us with bare ground are just hoping for something to whiten up the ground ahead of this next cold snap. I say pick the "snowiest" model solution for your backyard and cling to it for dear life.

After the 12z there's not too much guidance that supports more than a 1-2" event. HRRR typically cuts back QPF once you start getting with 18-24 hours...and let's be honest, really isn't a piece of guidance we should put a lot of faith in more than 6hrs out. I'm guessing it probably performs a bit better in an event like this where there's not a bunch of convection and complex dynamics to deal with...but still not holding my breath that it scores a coup. Was hoping to see this ramp up a little more as we closed in...but about out of time. 1-2" is still better than a goose egg though.

Euro finally comes aboard and NAM jumps ship. Go figure.

Not sure why most of my post got cutoff…here’s the full text… Too much support for this event from the mesos/gfs/Canadian to think it misses completely. I could see the NAM being a bit too juiced and it turning into a 1-2” type deal south of 84 vs a 2-4” regionwide event. And given that the Euro is on its own for this and the weekend event makes me think it’s clueless at the moment. I think 1-3” from pike south is a good first call. Anything to whiten the ground before the weekend arctic blast is fine by me!

Too much support for this event from the mesos/gfs/Canadian