Mr. Windcredible!

Can verify that yesterday turned out to be a really nice day for central CT. Fair amount of sun from 11am-7pm and probably maxed out 62-64 degrees along the shoreline. Sounds like we really lucked out compared to the rest of the area. Good news is everyone finally breaks free of the doom and gloom tomorrow!

Agreed u can't go 6-36"...but also not wise to go with a biblical number as your upper bound when your on the western fringe and there's a great degree of uncertainty. What's the harm in a middle of the road forecast of 12-20"? Really think many got carried away in the hype and the last minute nature of this storm, Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Nice little band for you guys. Wish it would spiral back this way and give us a final hurrah...but looks like just a few flakes. What's your total that way. About 13-14" here. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

All the more reason to have been more conservative back that way. Too much love for the Euro this time around. People I think forget one of the things that makes it so great is its consistency. And even when it's wrong, it can be slow to correct....which is unfortunately what happened here. When it started making small shifts east while several other models had already made larger jumps east, that should've been a clue. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

The problem I have is when he admitted his bust in NYC and points west last night...he then went on like a 4 paragraph tirade talking about how irresponsible and flat out stupid TWC was with their forecast when in reality it was way closer than his. I'm sorry, anyone who threw out 2'+ forecasts back to NYC, NWS included, was just asking for trouble. I posted this on the obs thread earlier: "As we reflect on this bust, I think it's important to remember one of the first rules I learned about forecasting...know your climatology and never forecast the extreme/historic until it's absolutely certain. Sometimes I think we all get carried away and latch onto an extreme solution. Then people talk crap on certain models and look for reasons for them to be wrong. Does the Euro have better skill than the NAM and GFS? Sure. Is it infallible? No. This is a great example of why it's important to consider all guidance. " How many 24"+ storms had NYC had in its history? Why the hell would you set that mark as the lower bound of your forecast? Don't go against climo...you'll bust 95% of the time. Was there really harm in forecasting 12-18" in NYC and mentioning the potential for more and then and adjusting up if need be? I simply don't understand why people threw common sense out with forecasting this one. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

A lot of people were screwed with that one...myself included. I was recovering from a stomach bug however and don't remember be too bent out of shape. This one seems like it'll be more like Feb 2013...screw zone will still be 18" of snow. But I don't buy into the idea of one giant deform ban like Kevin is suggesting. Subsidence will set up somewhere...will it be central CT or a bit further east?

Think most of us get paranoid right before the event when a sucker hole is likely. It's one thing to have a storm whiff one way or another...but when everyone around you gets nailed and you can't manage persistent heavy snow, it's the worst IMO. We've all been there. But if you get lucky things break your way. I remember being paranoid about getting sucker holed in the Feb 2013 storm...most of the models had this area in the screw zone...I was pretty pessimistic up until the deform band moved ashore from LI around 5-6pm. 30" later...

Yeah...it was unlike anything I'd ever seen during a snowstorm. I remember sitting down to dinner and I heard what sounded like water pouring off the roof in a heavy downpour. It was not the normal sleet pinging we're all familiar with. I stepped outside and was like "WTF?" My first thought was it certainly couldn't be sleet...way too big...but the thought of hail seemed just plain stupid. Truly baffling. It mixed for a good 2.5 hours probably. We would've had 3"/hr snowfall rates easy had it been snow. That mixing robbed me of my first 30"+ snowfall. My total was like 27.5"...without that mixing I think we easily would've approached 3 feet. It also made for a nightmare cleanup. We had like 15" of heavy wet snow, a 2-3" solid ice layer topped by another 10" of powder. We have a small driveway...single lane about 3 car lengths...and I spend 8 hours in total the next day digging it out. Snowblowers were useless. My neighbor across the street had a plow. Took him 6 hours just to get it out. We got lucky in that the town kept up with our street pretty well throughout the storm, so the street was passable by mid day the day after the storm. But places that weren't touched frequently through the storm ultimately requiried front loaders to dig out the streets. Plows couldn't handle it in many places. It really made me realize how much of a difference there is between 2 feet of snow and 3 feet in terms of cleanup time. The general public didn't seem to be able to grasp that. Lots of complaints about how long the clean up took...but the scale of the storm just simply isn't something we have to deal with on a regular basis. I'd give just about anything to live through another storm like that! Shame that its unlikely we see something like that again in our life times.

U of Washington has a well respected program. I know their grad program was always listed as one of the top 5 (along with PSU, Oklahoma, Wisconsin, and Colorado) when I was in school 10 years ago. GT also has a program...I know a guy who got his grad degree from there. Not sure how good their undergrad program is...probably middle of the road though.

I measured 20"...although it settled quickly...so final snow depth was more like 16" I have a 40 frame loop but its too big to upload and I don't know how to compress it.

highlight of last winter for me...deformation band sets up over LI/SE CT for the Dec 20, 2009 storm...2-3"/hr rates: