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Mr. Windcredible!

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Everything posted by Mr. Windcredible!

  1. Mr. Windcredible!
    Seems the BL is going to be a bigger issue than most anticipated. I guess when this was modeled stronger and a bit further north, we had the dynamics to overcome it easily.
  2. Mr. Windcredible!
    I’m not sure why people are surprised by the “warmth.” Some others were commenting on it earlier. The high was 44 here today. Still 35 as of 9pm. Not exactly an arctic ancedant airmass. For SE areas, I think outside of heavier banding, we’re going to struggle to accumulate.
  3. Mr. Windcredible!
    Lol...one for the weenie archives. Jacks me with 5.7”/hr. And yes, I know how that sounds.
  4. Mr. Windcredible!
    I put very little stock in it and it's big brother. Mostly will just check it for trends or to look for any consensus across models.
  5. Mr. Windcredible!
    RGEM does not smell what the NAMs cooking
  6. Mr. Windcredible!
    About done here. Temp creeping up to freezing and a few pingers/drops mixing in. Just a hair over 9”...pretty much in line with expectations.
  7. Mr. Windcredible!
    Really seems to be the sweet spot. Looks like some bright banding just to the south. Lot of reports of sleet from Bucks/Montgomery county and down into Philly.
  8. Mr. Windcredible!
    Around 5" here now. Went for a walk in the height of it...1.5"/hr rates, <1/4 mile visibility. What's not to love? Intensity down a little bit now.
  9. Mr. Windcredible!
    Should pick up soon once you start getting into those 25-30dbz returns.
  10. Mr. Windcredible!
    Really takes a true weenie to keep up with the clearing in amounts like that. I couldn't even convince my dad to move his snow stake from the porch to the yard after just an inch of snow there yesterday. Not only is his stake placement bad but it only goes to 24"...good chance depth exceeds that especially once you factor in the drifting off the roof.
  11. Mr. Windcredible!
    Man that's some death band back across I-78 in NJ...pushing 60dbz. Can easily see how someone ends up with 30" whereever that thing stalls and rots out.
  12. Mr. Windcredible!
    My parents are in Allentown PA...looking like they could easily surpass 2'. Already over 6" and heaviest banding still on the way.
  13. Mr. Windcredible!
    Have gone from light to mod snow here in the past 30 minutes. Probably pushing 3" otg. heaviest still yet to come.
  14. Mr. Windcredible!
    The thump is really hauling ass on the V16. Gonna be tough to surpass 12” for most of CT unless we really go to town for those few hours.
  15. Mr. Windcredible!
    Don’t think it’s been quite that long...I imagine Feb 2013 crept in but my memory is terrible for those types of details. Of course PDII was on a whole other level.
  16. Mr. Windcredible!
    When was the last time we saw a storm coming in at such a crawl? Where it’s snowing in NYC but will be another 10-12 hours before precip makes it to Hartford?
  17. Mr. Windcredible!
    Totally agree. They used to be much more conservative 10+ years ago. But more recently they love going balls to the wall and end up busting more often than not. Down this way I feel 12” is out ceiling, I’m think 6-10” shoreline east of HVN. 8-14” for the majority of the state...pocket of 12-18” for the SW/NE corners.
  18. Mr. Windcredible!
    This event blows. I even had low expectations and figured there was a good chance we might struggle for more than an inch down this way...now wondering even we can even manage 1/2”.
  19. Mr. Windcredible!
    No...I was starting to grow a bit wary even yesterday that things were starting to tick north on some of the models. Euro included. Very subtle ticks but still enough lead time to be concerning.
  20. Mr. Windcredible!
    To be clear...I never expect to jackpot here. I'm always cautious when models show it even when it's the Euro showing it day after day leading up to the event. Never doubted a trend to more amped or more suppressed. But really thought we had at least enough wiggle room to avoid a mixing scenario. Here's to hoping some of these solutions are overdoing it.
  21. Mr. Windcredible!
    A couple more crap winters down this way and I might be ready to start trolling the board like you
  22. Mr. Windcredible!
    Really was hopeful we were going to avoid mixing concerns down here. So much for that. Is it too early in the day to start drinking?
  23. Mr. Windcredible!
    ...or not might be it's worst run yet
  24. Mr. Windcredible!
    didn't realize that. Upton referenced 48 hours in their earlier discussion, so I just assumed.
  25. Mr. Windcredible!
    For most of BOX's CWA start time is still a bit beyond 48 hours, hence no watches yet
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