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Mr. Windcredible!

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Everything posted by Mr. Windcredible!

  1. Mr. Windcredible!
    Don’t think it’s been quite that long...I imagine Feb 2013 crept in but my memory is terrible for those types of details. Of course PDII was on a whole other level.
  2. Mr. Windcredible!
    When was the last time we saw a storm coming in at such a crawl? Where it’s snowing in NYC but will be another 10-12 hours before precip makes it to Hartford?
  3. Mr. Windcredible!
    Totally agree. They used to be much more conservative 10+ years ago. But more recently they love going balls to the wall and end up busting more often than not. Down this way I feel 12” is out ceiling, I’m think 6-10” shoreline east of HVN. 8-14” for the majority of the state...pocket of 12-18” for the SW/NE corners.
  4. Mr. Windcredible!
    This event blows. I even had low expectations and figured there was a good chance we might struggle for more than an inch down this way...now wondering even we can even manage 1/2”.
  5. Mr. Windcredible!
    Christmas fire will have to wait here, too warm in the house. But Bullet dodged here wrt the wind, so I’m happy. Merry Christmas everyone!
  6. Mr. Windcredible!
    60.1 here...up 30 from this time yesterday. Good times. Hear the roaring overhead. Also hoping for an under-performer...3-4 miles from the shoreline...not sure if it’s close enough for the inversion to save us.
  7. Mr. Windcredible!
    Ended up around 7" here. A little bummed we didn't make a run on double digits. I knew we were gonna slot, but really thought the front end would perform a little better. But at least happy to have a warning event not ending in slop and that will stick around a few days. 30F was the high around 5-6am...back down to 22F now. Also first time (and likely the last time) in my life I'm jealous to not be living in Binghamton.
  8. Mr. Windcredible!
    Moderate here now with heavy banding on the doorstep. 24F
  9. Mr. Windcredible!
    Flakes started about 5 min ago. 25.9F/16.0F
  10. Mr. Windcredible!
    that's what I was getting a bit paranoid about yesterday. but I think we're looking good for a solid 8-10" before any dryslot/mixing issues. I can live with that
  11. Mr. Windcredible!
    I'm expecting some pings here in Clinton. It's not all bad...gives the pack a little more staying power
  12. Mr. Windcredible!
    snowing on LI...looks like could have some flakage here in the next hour or so...a couple hours ahead of schedule.
  13. Mr. Windcredible!
    27F/9.5F...dewpoint slowly creeping up the last couple of hours. Let's get this thing started!
  14. Mr. Windcredible!
    No...I was starting to grow a bit wary even yesterday that things were starting to tick north on some of the models. Euro included. Very subtle ticks but still enough lead time to be concerning.
  15. Mr. Windcredible!
    To be clear...I never expect to jackpot here. I'm always cautious when models show it even when it's the Euro showing it day after day leading up to the event. Never doubted a trend to more amped or more suppressed. But really thought we had at least enough wiggle room to avoid a mixing scenario. Here's to hoping some of these solutions are overdoing it.
  16. Mr. Windcredible!
    A couple more crap winters down this way and I might be ready to start trolling the board like you
  17. Mr. Windcredible!
    Really was hopeful we were going to avoid mixing concerns down here. So much for that. Is it too early in the day to start drinking?
  18. Mr. Windcredible!
    ...or not might be it's worst run yet
  19. Mr. Windcredible!
    didn't realize that. Upton referenced 48 hours in their earlier discussion, so I just assumed.
  20. Mr. Windcredible!
    For most of BOX's CWA start time is still a bit beyond 48 hours, hence no watches yet
  21. Mr. Windcredible!
    looking forward to seeing watches get hoisted soon. It feels like it's been forever since I've been under a watch and had relatively high confidence in it actually verifying.
  22. Mr. Windcredible!
    No, I only mentioned it since I felt like it supported most other guidance. If it were on its own I wouldn’t have mentioned it.
  23. Mr. Windcredible!
    6z had the solid 1-3” across the state...12z cut back to like C-0.5”. I mean it’s the HRRR, if other 12z guidance disagrees then it’s tossed
  24. Mr. Windcredible!
    Skeptical about tomorrow, especially near the coast. 12z HRRR was pretty meager...had things mostly drying up as it enters SNE. I know it’s a crap model especially this far out, but seems in line with most other guidance. NAM is the outlier for tomorrow.
  25. Mr. Windcredible!
    While I’m linking where we sit here in S CT right now, hard not to be anxious after getting burned many times the past couple years. If there’s one thing that’s a lock at this point...it’s that the NAM should deliver us some amazing weather porn today.
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