weathercoins

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Everything posted by weathercoins

  1. Not updated entirely yet, but synopsis from BOX at 3:47 seems pretty similar (and OT, but slight change re midweek storm) A POWERFUL AND VERY DANGEROUS OFFSHORE STORM DEVELOPS TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY WITH A PERIOD OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR COASTAL COMMUNITIES SUNDAY MORNING. EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WINDS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS FOR THE OUTER-CAPE AND NANTUCKET. EXCEPTIONALLY COLD AIR...THE COLDEST OF THE SEASON...FOLLOWS LATE SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED BY MIDWEEK FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER SURGE OF BITTER COLD.
  2. This storm really trying to make it very clear that despite all our advances in meteorology and model upgrades and everything else, weather will weather. Interested to see how the NWS handles this in the update coming out in a bit.
  3. fwiw, and admittedly not very much, I'm looking at where this energy is now and comparing to the 18z and 0z runs from yesterday for 12 and 18 hours out. It looks like the GFS had a slightly better handle on the current stuff. Obviously not dispositive of much, including the redevelopment of the low, but this should be fun to look back at.
  4. Yep. Don't recall ever seeing a thread with people as ridiculous irt a storm as this one. It's going to snow, and it's going to wind.
  5. This thing is doubling down again. Jfc
  6. Something tells me that won't be happening here
  7. Prediction: Whichever model gets this one right will get Tues night wrong. So it goes.
  8. Haha, 1L here. Really tried to keep the weather thing quiet, came out in torts last semester, now I am the class of 2017 weather guy. Oh well
  9. Wouldn't mind another law school snowday, we only close if MBTA shut . 3 snow days so far this month, 2 snow days since 1978 until this winter.
  10. Serious question: if the GFS or something near it verifies, when do people think the MBTA opens again ?
  11. Does anyone actually expect Euro to hold at this point? Two hours to go
  12. Meh, just add a + to the higher totals. E MA 8-12"+ would work, focus the coverage on Boston anyway for mass, where an easier forecast of "lots of snow and wind don't go outside stay safe" will almost definitely verify
  13. Us being in 3rd place by the end of next week is a fairly good bet I would think, with the GFS hinting at a chance to make a run at #2 by then
  14. By month: Nothing in October 4.1 in November 24.1 in December 39.8 in January 15.5 in February 16.8 in March 7.3 in April Also, interesting that 94/95 was epically bad - 14 inches total all season, sandwiched between *the* two monster years.
  15. If GFS ends up being correct or more correct here, especially after the Blizzard of 2015 mess in NYC, I seriously think the Euro's Kingship needs to be put on probation
  16. Only 48 hrs left, and maybe I'm being a , but I feel like it's pretty clear that the possibility of this trending/verifying better, given the setup, is far higher than the possibility of this trending more ots or weaker
  17. Just looking at this setup, we'd be thinking this is a mixed good to great (but not terrific) setup for something big. If this thing overperforms, looking back the surprise won't be that this setup gave us another nice storm, it will be that the models were mainly underdoing it, which won't be that much of a surprise at all...
  18. EURO has a near-perfect setup for something big, just doesn't take the extra step. Glad we are still 48 hours out
  19. I only have out to 36, but this is going to remain a good (a bit better even) solution for SNE
  20. Agreed, wouldn't be surprised to see midweek storm trend back into a colder solution for them
  21. High wind watches hoisted for most of the Mid Atlantic, which is like the most exciting thing they've had in months. Quite a disappointing winter for them.
  22. Something tells me both winter storm and blizzard watches expanded decently eastward in the morning (edit: west, obviously. need sleep).