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Everything posted by weathercoins
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January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #3 - No Banter
weathercoins replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Euro is slower, going to be at least a bit south -
I think the main post... which was an hour ago, haha
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You headed west?
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I'm in law school up here but heading home to Pikesville tomorrow for this. My baby sister (senior in HS) is asking me if there's "any chance at all" that school will be closed Friday or Monday. Oh man, if any of this pans out I would be surprised if they have school any day at all next week.
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January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #2 - No Banter
weathercoins replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Philly meteorologist on Twitter. He seems to be engaging in some "HOW COULD THIS BE TRUE" speculation. https://twitter.com/MikeMasco -
January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #2 - No Banter
weathercoins replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not to rain on the parade, but Masco saying there may have been a feedback error and the low may be too far north during transfer to coast -
January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #2 - No Banter
weathercoins replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is going to be an insane run for an area 30 miles south of DC to Baltimore. -
January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #2 - No Banter
weathercoins replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Very cold, a bit slower, jackpot going to be C VA again -
January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #2 - No Banter
weathercoins replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
At this point, probably silly to take models seriously regarding where the deform bands will be, but a great sign that there will be deform bands like this somewhere, right? Great run so far Baltimore and south. -
January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #2 - No Banter
weathercoins replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
This makes sense, but we've seen a shift NW (in the limited instances we've seen dynamic systems) this winter as well. -
January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #2 - No Banter
weathercoins replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think the model consensus would be starting in DC around 8-10 AM Friday and ending like early Saturday evening? Which is an insane 36+ hours -
January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #2 - No Banter
weathercoins replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Here's the CWG post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/01/19/forecasts-converging-on-serious-friday-saturday-snowstorm/ -
January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #2 - No Banter
weathercoins replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Won't the ratio be 7-1 (or less if sleet) only for a short period of time, with average (10:1) ratios at start and above average ratios for the final 12-18 hours with high rates at times..? -
January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #2 - No Banter
weathercoins replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not a met - can someone explain to me how this slight change in track and phasing correlates with a (somewhat; relatively) significantly warmer temp in parts at around hours 96-102? Doesn't make much sense to me, and makes me think the GFS has something off here. -
January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #2 - No Banter
weathercoins replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
GFS makes this a 40+ hour event in DC. -
January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #2 - No Banter
weathercoins replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Lol, looks like a tiny spot even hits 4' just west of Gettysburg -
January 22-23 Mid Atlantic Storm Thread #2 - No Banter
weathercoins replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
This run could be the best (GFS) one yet for I-95 -
Jan 23/24 Major Coastal Storm Discussion
weathercoins replied to Zelocita Weather's topic in New York City Metro
Not much a change in GFS -- little (insignificantly) faster, maybe -
Here comes the EURO. If this thing somehow unlikely trends decently west, then we've got a real clusterf*ck to deal with.
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...Did this run initialize poorly like it did 24 hours ago or something? Right when we thought sleep at a normal hour was a possibility..
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Watch the GFS/EURO trend west now
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Yeah, did NAM initialize/run weird or something? Yes it's the NAM, but still...
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I guess he's defining "first" as "a week ago before the hurricane existed."