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weathercoins

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  1. weathercoins
  2. weathercoins
    A Sunday morning special
  3. weathercoins
    This hobby really can be diabolical when there are two storms in a row
  4. weathercoins
    GFS continues to be very consistent with this complicated setup
  5. weathercoins
    One night in the future we will go to sleep before 12:50 AM, but I guess that’s a next week thing
  6. weathercoins
    Not saying it will happen this time, but when is the last time the GFS outperformed most others for a complex winter event? Feb 2013 is the most similar to this one, perhaps (although far from exact obviously). I think late Jan 2022 it was ahead of Euro that we (correctly) would NOT get anything down here.
  7. weathercoins
    Iirc the GFS handled Feb 2013 much better than the Euro - or at least got it right earlier - showing a low farther west than most others that were showing ann offshore solution, and also a more accurate phase. Clinging to straws 13 years ago… but still…
  8. weathercoins
    Roads are still pretty brutal here (although markedly better now than early this morning) so makes sense. Surprised they called Thursday so soon tbh
  9. weathercoins
    MoCo schools closed tomorrow and Thursday
  10. weathercoins
    I think this may surpass 2014 if it holds.
  11. weathercoins
    Tell him we need it to track the weather in Greenland, or Venezuela, or whatever is randomly on his mind that day and we may be in business
  12. weathercoins
    Salisbury would be dug out in June
  13. weathercoins
    We back? I love this forum. I’ve been here since EasternWX and every hit or miss follows the same trajectory of hope and despair and hope again, many times over. I’m just glad we’re tracking anything at all.
  14. weathercoins
    Would be a pretty absurd solution down south, especially on top of what they already have
  15. weathercoins
    As of this morning it says snow with 7-8” on Saturday and more on Sunday in DC. I know this because I woke up to a text from someone this morning asking about this coming weekend’s storm.
  16. weathercoins
    Pretty absurd to look at the current national warning/advisory map. The entire country is pink
  17. weathercoins
    Would not worry about how the NAM is handling complex energy interaction, and specifically the thermal profiles, past 36 hours. If it showed something amazing the responsible thing to do would be to disregard it; don’t think it’s different when it shows something like this, especially if inconsistent with the beginning of the run
  18. weathercoins
    Even though NWS counts sleet as snow for purposes of total accumulations, is there a different WSW criteria for sleet vs. snow? Hard to imagine three inches of pure sleet would merit a WWA lol
  19. weathercoins
    Doesn’t look like a cave. Looks remarkably consistent to its last few runs?
  20. weathercoins
    Probably should be in banter especially given Euro running but don’t trust your point forecast for totals, especially if you are adding up multiple periods.
  21. weathercoins
    The year was 2005. I was telling everyone in high school to root for the GFS because it gives us way more snow but that the GFS usually isn’t correct. This happened many times. The year is 2026. I am telling everyone at work that the GFS (although I say “American model” now as everyone knows I’m a weather guy but maybe not to this extent) gives us way more snow but that the GFS usually isn’t correct.
  22. weathercoins
    Models are often awful with accounting for mixed precip in QPF forecasts.
  23. weathercoins
    I guess Feb 12-14, 2007, but the interaction with the coastal (and the track of the low through CO to Ohio Valley iirc) was far from the same so not perfect by any means
  24. weathercoins
    Seems low unless you think mixing comes in before 90?
  25. weathercoins
    Excited to decide whether GFS is the worst model of all time or the most accurate winner for this storm in about three minutes
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