Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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YA as of now I'm not believing it at all with 95% of other guidance having a great thump.. Now if the hi-res stuff coming out between 8:30-9:30 lose the thump then sure time to worry. -
It's like 1-2" for all of SNE and 3-4" in NW Mass ... just horrible .. hopefully it just had a long night out of drinking
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Tracking down that deform band with 3-4” per hour rates and watching it out the window or gettin out in it is the best part.
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They both do .. snows most of the daylight hours Sunday
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I’ve got nothing good yet it’s slow as heck to load
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Getting its act together at 39 may get nam’d here
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Ya nam is like 4 hours slower the public is going to hate us even more if this thing slows down again
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Guidance really varies with start time.. I’d wait til after 00z .. hrrr coming in much slower with thump , euro is the slowest amongst guidance, also these come in earlier usually.. hrrr back a bit SE after being a NW outlier
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Its also two months later now in much better climo so competing factors. This airmass isn’t horrible. SSTs are about 5-10 degrees cooler than mid November.
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This is a totally different system and set up but reminds me of Nov 2018 when he had 7.5” in like 3 hours then freezing drizzle from a SWFE , great positive bust and traffic was a nightmare.
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Keeping our initial bc of what should be a great thump for 4-6 hours .. just a few tweaks on the coast to account for the warmer trends. Not buying on too much from the trailer just yet.
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Pretty cold in 18z flash freeze is crazy for mass even gets down to ct this run
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Verbatim it’s like 3-4pm western ct and 6-7pm far eastern.
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For as far west and warm as hrrr is would still get 6- 10 here and be a pretty epic Saturday evening I’m down for that! Also instead of the heaviest snow while we are sleeping it’s now from 5pm to 11pm.
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Lmao it almost goes up the Hudson before a last second push east
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They are only about 5-10 miles apart by 12z Sunday
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Most guidance has a decent thump for all at least Saturday night.. Take what we can get.. Hopefully someone can cash in with Part 2..
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Lol ya I mean to the average person (not us) those snow depth maps are pretty accurate bc they don’t measure until like hour 12+ probably. But for us the reality probably falls in between the snow depth map and a Kuchera and even 10:1 sometimes, every event is different.
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Real weenies never let it settle. Measure aggressively and often and slant stick when in Rome( I mean Tolland).
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Positive depth chart means nothing to me unless you are 33/34 degrees during daylight and or horrible growth . Take the risk for the real snow and stay in CT.
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Congrats on your paster finally .. Hoping you get a solid foot of wet snow and lose power for 7 days
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Hell of a thump over CT on 12z GFS .. That's our hope several inches Saturday late evening and night would be nice.. Man that's perfect heavy snow in our hood between 5-6pm goes to town until about 1am after about 6-12"
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If you read that quickly it can get really weird lmao
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Ya NAMs are heavy snow to Canada .. Enjoy it. Always fun for a last second positive trend, sucks for us but we can handle it we are more prone and used to it..
